Here are the best Josh Allen vs. Aaron Rodgers player props for the Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets matchup based on the best NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.
Aaron Rodgers makes his Jets debut against one of the powerhouses of the AFC in the season premiere of Monday Night Football. Will he be able to outduel Josh Allen and lead the Jets to an upset victory over the Bills?
Here are our best Josh Allen vs. Aaron Rodgers player prop picks for the Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Week 1 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Josh Allen vs. Aaron Rodgers NFL player props for Week 1
- Josh Allen -0.5 Interceptions (+125 via DraftKings) ????
- Aaron Rodgers More Pass Yards (+115 via DraftKings Sportsbook) ???
- Josh Allen and Aaron Rodgers Under 45.5 Pass Completions (-115 via DraftKings Sportsbook) ????
Bills vs. Jets odds
Josh Allen vs. Aaron Rodgers player props
This line honestly feels like a typo. That's the only thing keeping it from being a five-star play.
Rodgers threw 12 interceptions in 2022, the second-most in a single season during his career. It ended a streak of 11 consecutive campaigns with single-digit interception totals.
Meanwhile, Allen threw 14 interceptions in 2022 and 15 in 2021. He's chucked only three picks over his las t four games against the Jets. The Jets' defense is confident playing against him, and they boast one of the best secondaries in the NFL. So, why is the price +125 for this?
We have no idea. If neither quarterback throws an interception, then this obviously won't hit. But the odds of Allen throwing an interception are significantly higher than Rodgers doing the same. At this price, this bet is simply too good to pass up.
Another great price for something that absolutely could happen. The Jets fielded the third-best pass defense in the league in 2022. They allowed just 189.4 yards per game through the air, and Allen's average between his two games against them was just 175.5 yards.
The Bills' secondary was solid last season too, but they allowed nearly 30 more yards per game through the air than the Jets. This game truly is a tossup, so it's hard to know who's going to be leading or playing from behind. But neither team is going to take its foot off the gas no matter how large any lead gets because of who is playing quarterback on the other side.
Rodgers threw for just 3,695 yards in 2022, but the troubles with the Packers' offense went much deeper than their quarterback. With all his new weapons, Rodgers could end up significantly outgaining Allen on Monday night.
Perhaps we're overplaying the importance of history when it comes to Monday night's game, but we'd play this completion total as low as 42.5. This isn't a five-star play because both Rodgers and Allen have been known to produce incredible games, but this is the closest thing to a lock you're going to get in this contest.
Allen completed just 18 and 16 passes against the Jets in his two games during 2022. Even if he goes to 21, that would still require Rodgers to co mplete 25 passes for this Over to hit. Rodgers completed just 19 passes during his only game against the Bills in 2022.
It seems oddsmakers are banking on bettors basing their wagers on name alone without looking at stats. Because there's nothing in recent history to suggest this total will finish anywhere near 46.
Josh Allen vs. Aaron Rodgers player prop picks made 09/10/2023 at 10:26 a.m. ET.
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