The Iowa Hawkeyes will face the South Carolina Gamecocks in the national championship, and we're offering our top Iowa vs. South Carolina prediction and pick based on the best national championship odds.
The Iowa Hawkeyes (34-4) gear up to face the undefeated South Carolina Gamecocks (37-0) in the women's national championship game, which takes place at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio. The anticipated rematch of the 2023 Final Four tips off at 3 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN, and our best sports betting sites have the Gamecocks as a 6.5-point favorite.
In last year's Final Four clash between the two, Iowa's Caitlin Clark showcased her brilliance, leading her team to a thrilling victory. Now Clark has the opportunity to do it again after taking down UConn in this year's Final Four, thanks to a controversial call. The women's Wooden Award odds favorite f aces the challenge of beating an undefeated and once again unseating South Carolina, the season-long favorite by the women's March Madness odds.
To complement our Iowa vs. South Carolina player props, here is our best Iowa vs. South Carolina prediction for the women's national championship game (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Iowa (1) vs. South Carolina (1) game info
- When: Sunday, April 7
- Tipoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Where: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, Ohio
- How to watch: ABC, ESPN
- Favorite: South Carolina -6.5 (-110 via FanDuel)
Iowa vs. South Carolina odds
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | +240 | +6.5 (-110) | Over: 160.5 |
| South Carolina | -310 | -6.5 (-110) | Under: 160.5 |
Iowa vs. South Carolina prediction
Best odds: +100 via bet365
While Clark makes the headlines as the most prolific scorer in women's college basketball history – she's already as short as +1400 by the WNBA MVP odds – Kamilla Cardoso is the best player on the nation's top team.
Known as “Killa Milla” among her teammates, Cardoso is the anchor of a Gamecocks team that's third in the country in points per game (85.4) and 17th in points allowed (56.1).
It's Cardoso, not Clark, who gets the opportunity to create the most significant mismatch in the national championship game with her size and physicality. At 6-foot-7, Cardoso doesn't just lead South Carolina in points (14.3) and blocks (2.5). She's the top rebounder (9.5) and the reason Dawn Staley's team is fourth in the country in rebounds per game (46.2).
< p class=''>For as dynamic as Iowa's offense is while leading the country with 91.4 points per contest, Lisa Bluder's lineup lacks size. The Hawkeyes don't trot out a player playing over 10 minutes per game who's taller than 6-foot-2. That gives Killa Milla a massive advantage when it comes to cleaning up the glass. Iowa ranks outside the top 100 in total rebounds allowed per game (34.7) and offensive rebounds (11.0).
That spells trouble for Clark and the Hawkeyes with Cardoso coming off an 11-rebound performance in the Final Four while playing only 23 minutes. The odds via bet365 are a fantastic value at even money, with a $10 wager leading to a $10 profit, and +100 implying a 50% probability Cardoso hits the Over, according to our odds calculator.
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Iowa vs. South Carolina spread & Over/Under analysis
Once Iowa secured its 71-69 win over the Huskies, South Carolina opened as a 5.5-point favorite and has since risen to a 6.5-point favorite across our best sports betting apps. We don't suspect much more movement with this line as the Gamecocks are undefeated, but the Hawkeyes boast the most significant X-factor in the sport with Clark.
The Over/Under varies at our best sportsbooks, with bet365 and Caesars offering it as low as 160 and DraftKings as high as 161. While the Hawkeyes' offense is the best in the country, it's hard to imagine the game total ballooning above 161.5 given the effectiveness of the Gamecocks' defense.
Iowa-South Carolina prediction made Saturday at 10:20 a.m. ET.
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- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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