Illinois vs. Indiana Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 2-18-2023

The Illinois Fighting Illini will play the Indiana Hoosiers Saturday at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall. Tip-off from Bloomington, IN, is at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Illinois (17-8 SU, 15-9-1 ATS) was defeated by Penn State on Tuesday. The Fighting Illini are 3-2 straight-up in their past five and 8-6 in Big Ten Conference competition.

Indiana (18-8 SU, 13-12-1 ATS) was defeated by Northwestern on Wednesday. The Hoosiers are 3-2 straight-up in their past five and 9-6 in Big Ten play.

Indiana defeated Illinois 80-65 on January 19. The Hoosiers shot 61.8 percent from the field and held the Illini under 40 percent. They also won the rebounding battle 39-27.

Indiana leads the series 95-91. The two programs first met on January 20, 1906, a game won by the Illini 27-24.

Illinois has endured a tough three-game stretch since beating Ohio State, Wisconsin, and Nebraska in consecutive games. The Illini lost by two at Iowa, upset 24th-ranked Rutgers by nine, and took it on the chin last game at Penn State. Four of their final six games are against teams with winning records, bookended by road games at Indiana and Purdue.

In the 93-81 loss to the Nittany Lions, the Fighting Illini trailed by 13 at halftime and couldn't recover, despite shooting 47.5 percent from the field. Penn State was tough to defend, shooting a hair under 58 percent with 12 made three-pointers. Illinois never led in the game. Senior guard Terrence Shannon Jr. led the way with 20 points and three steals.

The Fighting Illini average 75.2 points per game (100th) and shoot 45.7 percent from the floor (115th), including 31.3 percent from three-point range (317th). They convert 67.8 percent of their free-throw attempts (303rd) and average 36.0 rebounds (20th) with a +6.7 rebounding margin. Illinois is 45th in schedule-adjusted offensive efficiency and 85th in effective field goal percentage (52.4%).

The Fighting Illini surrender 65.1 points per game (58th), and their opponents shoot 40.5 percent from the field (30th), including 32.7 percent from distance (132nd). Illinois is 26th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 196th in assist-per-turnover ratio.

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