The Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-165) on Thursday, April 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 7-12 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 1-2, 5.27 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 1-1, 3.81 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+13.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+8.80 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+15.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+12.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 81 away games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 73 games at home (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 10-9 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 4.68% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -13.06% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -10.28% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.2% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 7-12 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -27.56% ROI).
- 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -23.82% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 11.86% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -19.81% ROI
Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 14% (45/333) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Ryne Nelson struck out just 14% (42/304) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Ryne Nelson had a strikeout rate of just 32% (96/305) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (28/64) against Ryne Nelson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (389/619) against Logan Webb in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (287/640) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (428/696) against Logan Webb since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (959/2,490) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.