The San Diego State Aztecs took down the Alabama Crimson Tide to advance to the Elite Eight where they meet the Creighton Bluejays. Here is our best Creighton vs. San Diego State prediction based on the top NCAAB odds.
Who had this matchup as the South Region final in their bracket? Yet, here we are, with the fifth-seeded Aztecs taking on the sixth-seeded Bluejays with a trip to the Final Four on the line.
To get here the Aztecs defeated two double-digit seeds and then put together a phenomenal team effort against the tournament's overall No. 1 seed. The Bluejays' path to the Elite Eight featured wins over the 11th and 15th-seeded teams in the region, with an 85-76 victory against the Baylor Bears sandwiched in between.
Here is our best Creighton vs. San Diego State prediction (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Creighton vs. San Diego State odds
Creighton vs. San Diego State Prediction
Despite the Aztecs taking down the tournament's No. 1 seed, the Bluejays are actually favored in this game. Maybe bettors expect a letdown performance from the Aztecs, or they just think the Bluejays' offense is too much for San Diego State to handle. Either way, stay away from the spread in what feels like a toss-up.
Instead, play the Over. We've been all over the Aztecs' Unders in this tournament because their superb defense was very undervalued. But now, oddsmakers caught up to the reality of the situation, and finally posted a number too low to take the Under.
The Bluejays scored 85 or more points in their last two contests. Against the Princeton Tigers, they shot 58.2% f rom the floor, while versus the Bears, they shot 45.8% from 3-point range. They can score from beyond the arc or inside, and while the Aztecs' D is among college basketball's best, it's a very hard offense to prepare for in 48 hours.
Yet, it won't just be the Bluejays scoring. The Aztecs gained over 70 points in their last two matchups as well. They should have similar success against a Bluejays team that allowed 71.3 points per game in their previous three. This won't be a shootout by any means, but expect both opponents to get near 70 points, enough to push this Over.
Check out our best March Madness odds and Wooden Award odds.
Creighton vs. San Diego State best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
| Over 133.5 | Over 133.5 | Over 133.5 | Over 133.5 | Over 133.5 |
| -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
Every major sportsbook offers the exact same line for the exact same price. So, there's really no reason to pick one over the other. Go with DraftKings who currently have the most parlay opportunities for both player and game props.
Additionally, if this number does go up, don't take it higher than 135, even if the price is favorable. This is a good line from oddsmakers, and those one or two points could make all the difference.
Creighton vs. San Diego State odds analysis
The Bluejays opened as 2-point favorites, and the line quickly dropped to 1.5. 61% of bets back the Aztecs, so expect this one to continue to drop in their favor. These two teams are very evenly matched, and it wouldn't be surprising to see this go off as a pick 'em.
The total opened at 133.5, and that 's where it stayed. 55% of bettors back the Over at the moment. If that percentage increases, this number could also go up. Be careful taking this number too high, as San Diego State could absolutely frustrate the Bluejays.
Creighton vs. San Diego State game info
- Date: Sunday, March 26, 2:20 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Location: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
Creighton vs. San Diego State pick made 3/25/2023 at 10:41 a.m. ET.
Here are our best March Madness betting sites:
- FanDuel: No Sweat First Bet Up to $1,000 | Read our FanDuel Review
- Caesars: Earn Up to a $1,250 Bet Credit | Read our Caesars Review
- DraftKings: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets | Read our DraftKings Review
- PointsBet: Earn Five Second-Chanc e Bets Up to $50 Each | Read our PointsBet Review
- BetMGM: Get a Bonus Bet of Up to $1,000 | Read our BetMGM Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Related pages
- Best Online Sportsbooks | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)