The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Monday, March 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Peoria.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Brewers vs Mariners Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Brewers are 8-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 6-9 ATS.
Brewers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Omar Narvaez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 120% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.25 Units / 162% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (+5.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games at home (+18.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 99 games (+14.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 99 games (+6.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 9-8 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -1.76% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -13.2% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -32.89% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 24.66% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 6-9 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -24.15% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -6.65% ROI
- 4-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -51.56% ROI
- 12-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.7 Units / 43.75% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters swung at 37% of Brandon Woodruff’s breaking pitches (224/605) last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 12% (8/68) versus Brandon Woodruff with runners in scoring position last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 54% (116/215) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a miss rate of 37% (218/590) against Brandon Woodruff last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (153/537) versus Logan Gilbert last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.
Logan Gilbert allowed a slugging percentage of .454 (176 Total Bases / 388 ABs) against right-handed batters last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — eighth Percentile.