The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Roger Dean Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Monday, March 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Jupiter.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Marlins vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Marlins are 5-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 11-6 ATS.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 67.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Groshans has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jordan Groshans has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Nick Fortes has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 95 games (+23.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 90 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 16 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games at home (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 5-11 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -41.25% ROI).
- 5-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -32.99% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -27.84% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 19.49% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 11-6 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 33.76% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 21.48% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -25.95% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 17.15% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (52/315) against Jake Woodford since the start of the 2021 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Woodford induced opposing hitters to ground into 10 double plays in 41 opportunities (24%) last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Woodford had a strikeout rate of just 13% (24/188) last season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.