The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (+120) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Braves are 11-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 6-13 ATS.
Braves vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 1-0, 8.49 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: J.P. France 0-2, 8.23 ERA
Braves vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Max Fried has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+5.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 away games (+5.70 Units / 75% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 73% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Brantley has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 147 games (+16.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 8-8 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 1.08% ROI).
- 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 5.64% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 25.93% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -33.71% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 6-13 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -28.02% ROI).
- 6-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -42.59% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -14.15% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 5.73% ROI
Astros vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Astros vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando Arcia (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Astros vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Astros vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. France (HOU) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Max Fried (ATL) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 79.3 MPH (20 batted balls) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 88.9 — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an OBP of just .234 (406 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 100th Percentile.
27 of Max Fried’s 111 breaking pitch strikeouts (24%) have been backdoor since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (168 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 80.6