The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-105) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Braves are 10-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 6-12 ATS.

Braves vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 1-0, 0.77 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 0-2, 16.45 ERA

Braves vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Max Fried has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.15 Units / 51% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• Sam Hilliard has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Orlando Arcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jon Singleton has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Jon Singleton has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Victor Caratini has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
• Victor Caratini has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 73% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 147 games (+16.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -6.84% ROI).

• 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 2.41% ROI
• 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 33.94% ROI
• 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -42.12% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 6-12 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -21.99% ROI).

• 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -39.82% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI

Astros vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Reynaldo Lopez walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — second Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 27 of 153 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — first Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — fifth Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — fifth Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Brown has allowed a BABIP of .583 this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .300 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (23-for-46) against Hunter Brown this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .571 (12-for-21) against Hunter Brown’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .566 (53 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .318 — 0 Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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