Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 20
Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 20

The Toronto Blue Jays (-115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-105) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 11-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 11-11 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Joe Musgrove has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Eguy Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Eguy Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Matthew Batten has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Matthew Batten has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 47% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 11-9 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 4.18% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -14.55% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 4.08% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 11-11 against the Run Line (+1.57 Units / 6.02% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.21 Units / -0.79% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.22 Units / 0.9% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -7.86% ROI

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (25/72) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of just .065 (2 Total Bases / 31 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .065 (2-for-31) against Jose Berrios this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (98/240) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Randy Vasquez has limited playing time.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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