The Buffalo Bills (5-3) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (4-3) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Bengals are betting favorites in this Week 9 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Bills vs. Bengals Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Bills vs. Bengals Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bills will win this Week 9 game with 51.6% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bills will cover the spread with 77.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bills and Bengals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Bills Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bills players this Week 9 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- James Cook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Gabriel Davis has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joe Mixon has hit the Longest Rush Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Passing Yards Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Bills Best Bets:
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills went 3-5 (-2.5 Units / -28.74% ROI).
- Bills are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -8.6% ROI
- Bills are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Bills are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / ROI
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals went 3-3 (-0.35 Units / -4.4% ROI).
- Bengals are 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 5.97% ROI
- Bengals are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Bengals are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Bills are 3-2 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .258.
The Bills are undefeated (4-0) at home this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .538.
The Bills are winless (0-3) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.
The Bills are 10-3 (.769) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .399.
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Bengals are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .366.
The Bengals are 16-2 (.889) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .592.
The Bengals are undefeated (5-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .544.
The Bengals are undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 22 points this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .756.