The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (3-4) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Houston.
The Texans are betting favorites in this Week 9 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Buccaneers vs. Texans Over/Under is 40 total points for the game.
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Buccaneers vs. Texans Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Texans will win this Week 9 game with 55.4% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 71.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Buccaneers and Texans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this Week 9 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Russell Gage has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Mike Evans has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Davis Mills has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (+2.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have scored first in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.70 Units / 57% ROI)
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers went 4-3 (+0.8 Units / 10.53% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.64% ROI
- Buccaneers are 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
- Buccaneers are 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / ROI
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans went 4-3 (+0.8 Units / 10.39% ROI).
- Texans are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 6.33% ROI
- Texans are 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Texans are 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Buccaneers are winless (0-3) since Week 5 of the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Buccaneers are 3-0 (1.000) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL. The Texans have allowed an average of 150.0 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers are undefeated (9-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Buccaneers are undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .574.
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Texans are winless (0-6-1) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.
The Texans are 1-16-1 (.056) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .380.
The Texans are winless (0-18) whe trailing at the end of the frist half since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .243.
The Texans are winless (0-9) whe trailing at the end of the frist half since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .275.