Astros vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 23
Astros vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 23

The Houston Astros (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Astros are 7-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 15-7 ATS.

Astros vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: J.P. France 0-2, 6.97 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Jordan Wicks 0-2, 5.10 ERA

Astros vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jose Altuve has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.35 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+7.70 Units / 154% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 42% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 away games (+20.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 8-15 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -23.21% ROI).

  • 7-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -45.47% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -23.95% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.2 Units / 16.44% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 15-7 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 19.3% ROI).

  • 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 14.34% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -3.93% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -3.92% ROI

Cubs vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +200 0.5 -250
Christopher Morel (CHC) 0.5 +210 0.5 -250
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Dansby Swanson (CHC) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450

Cubs vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Chas McCormick (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Dansby Swanson (CHC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Jose Abreu (HOU) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Cubs vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel (CHC) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 +110 0.5 -140
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160

Cubs vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

J.P. France has allowed a slugging percentage of .810 (17 Total Bases / 21 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .292 — 0 Percentile.

J.P. France has allowed an OPS of 1.471 (21 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .693 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (140/862) against J.P. France in non-two strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

J.P. France has allowed a slugging percentage of .947 (18 Total Bases / 19 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .390 — first Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Wicks has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (14 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .390 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Jordan Wicks when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .235 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (26/49) against Jordan Wicks on changeups this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .514 (18-for-35) against Jordan Wicks in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .331 — first Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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