Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 17

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (+100) on Friday, March 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).

The Diamondbacks vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 6-7 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 53.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jake Hager has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+1.10 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+4.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Garrett Hampson has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 109 games (+13.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games at home (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 111 games (+8.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+5.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 7-7 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -3.55% ROI).

  • 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -5.9% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 8.97% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -16.45% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 6-7 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -16.48% ROI).

  • 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -30.94% ROI
  • 3-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -47.55% ROI
  • 9-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 40.56% ROI

Ryne Nelson has limited playing time.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 51% (61/120) against Jose Urena on inside fastballs since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (333/618) of opposing batters since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed batters hit .329 (68-for-207) against Jose Urena last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.

  
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