The Washington Nationals (+155) visit The Ballpark of the Palm Beaches to take on the Houston Astros (-190) on Friday, March 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in West Palm Beach.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Nationals vs Astros Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Nationals are 7-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 9-5 ATS.
Nationals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 64.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yadiel Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Israel Pineda has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- David Hensley has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Korey Lee has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.90 Units / 195% ROI)
- J.J. Matijevic has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.45 Units / 173% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 away games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 27 away games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 95 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 27 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 25 away games (+2.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 162 games (+33.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 100 of their last 173 games (+31.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 162 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 110 of their last 159 games (+28.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 156 games (+18.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 9-6 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 7.36% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 15.67% ROI
- 4-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -49.24% ROI
- 11-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 39.58% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 9-5 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 22% ROI).
- 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 29.95% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -32.26% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 22.88% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (59/196) versus MacKenzie Gore last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 24% (152/633) against MacKenzie Gore last season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — fourth Percentile.
22% of MacKenzie Gore’s strikeouts came on 97+ MPH fastballs last season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore walked 37 of 309 batters (12%) last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.0 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Hunter Brown has pitched 16.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 24.1.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 11% (4/36) versus Hunter Brown over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.