The New York Yankees (-135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+115) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Yankees are 10-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 8-4 ATS.

Yankees vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 1-1, 3.50 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 2-0, 4.60 ERA

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 20 away games (+16.35 Units / 37% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+11.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
• Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 61% ROI)
• Estevan Florial has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 7-6 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 10.46% ROI).

• 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 31.46% ROI
• 3-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -48.98% ROI
• 9-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 41.07% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 8-4 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 28.57% ROI).

• 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 30.45% ROI
• 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 18.49% ROI
• 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -29.92% ROI

Guardians vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (62/231) against Nestor Cortes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (6/21) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — eighth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (49/194) against Nestor Cortes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (88/286) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.592 (17 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .644 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (29/50) against Logan Allen this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .457 (16 Total Bases / 35 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among in AL; League Avg: .245 — sixth Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.592 (17 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: .586 — first Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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