The New York Yankees (+100) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-120) on Friday, March 29, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Yankees are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 0-1 ATS.
Yankees vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s game with 53.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Jake Meyers has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games at home (+8.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 64.52% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.24 Units / 124% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.48 Units / -100% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (101 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Carlos Rodon has 57 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — tied for 6th most among pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon’s highest spin rate on sliders since the 2022 season is 3503.0 RPM — 3rd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2862.8
Carlos Rodon’s lowest spin rate on sliders since the 2022 season is 84.0 RPM — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 1323.3
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 20% (38/194) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier elevated 51% of his pitches (353/699) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 37% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (447/1,199) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier elevated 52% of his pitches (458/881) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.