College Football Betting Recap For Week 7
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Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky offers his college football Week 7 betting recap as well as his lookahead to Week 8 of college football kicking off on Thursday! What are his takeaways and look aheads from a betting perspective? Read below now!
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College Football Week 7: Betting Recap
In this edition I am going to list some head coaches whose jobs are either on the line, or whose late game decision-making could have been better. Are there any handicapping angles that can be used moving forward? Let's find out.
College Football Head Coaches in Peril
This is not a complete list by any means. The eight I have chosen to discuss all have areas that must improve if they are to remain in their current job beyond the next season or two. This list is by conference, and not in any other ranked order.
Mario Cristobal – Miami (FL): Mario is an excellent recruiter, and this is one of Miami's best teams, but the Hurricane's have a nasty habit of sliding badly once seasonal goals slip away. The well documented improbable loss hosting Georgia Tech may have started yet another slide. Cristobal is in no danger of losing his job, but supporters of this team have him on a short leash.
THE REST OF 2023: They are not dead yet, but one more loss might seal the deal.' A loss to Clemson will trigger a small crowd the next week hosting Virginia.'
Later, a loss to Florida State would be very tough for the players themselves to rebound, with ACC and January 1st goals very likely ending.'Watch the team body language closely and read the local news.
Dino Babers – Syracuse: Babers has rebounded nicely in the past but if you consider the body of his work as a whole, has there really been any progress in the win column?'
4-0 has turned into 4-3, and the Orange has been outscored 112-24 in those three losses.' The ACC is hardly a murderer's row, but Syracuse is 9-28 in their last 37 ACC conference games.''
THE REST OF 2023: Last year they lost five in a row after starting 6-0.' I don't think Babers keeps his job if a similar slide occurs.' What could happen is an “announced firing” before the end of 2023.' If that happens and Babers is not on the sideline to play out the season then I think fading them is very possible.
Dana Holgorsen – Houston: Holgorsen once coached in the Big 12, and now he's back, but for how long? His style is tolerated when Houston is winning, but in 2024 the conference will be completely wide open (no Texas or Oklahoma) and many would question his ability to be the man who leads the charge to the top of the standings. One lucky play last week got them to 3-3. At 2-4, his departure might have been expedited.
THE REST OF 2023: I think Houston has to make it to 6-6 or else the administration may make a change. His listed record at home vs. the point spread is 34-57. Teams under his leadership have always been inconsistent, and I wouldn't be afraid to fade the Cougars when the metrics are not in Houston's favor.
Jimbo Fisher – Texas A&M: I was always under the impression that 2024 would be when A&M would peak, but the rabid fan base thinks this year is already a disaster.
While I'd give the staff another season (and the stat sheet supports growth), the 4-3 Aggies may make a change if they end up 7-5 or worse.
THE REST OF 2023: I don't see a handicapping angle right now, especially with A&M having a much-needed week off after back-to-back tough games.
What I DO KNOW is that Texas is coming to the SEC in 2024, much to A&M's dismay. A&M left the Big 12 in part to get away from Texas.
The administration doesn't want the football program to be overshadowed by the Longhorns like in the old days, and that could factor into whether Fisher remains as the coach.
Tom Allen – Indiana: Tom Allen's big breakthrough came in the strange Big Ten Covid season. Since then, his record is just 8-22, and 2-19 in Conference play. Yes, their division is brutal, but things will only get worse in 2024 when the league expands. I do not see a path forward for success.