NFL Betting Recap For Week 6
Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky offers his NFL Week 6 betting recap as well as his lookahead to Week 7 of NFL kicking off on Thursday! What are his takeaways and look aheads from a betting perspective? Read below now!
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NFL Betting Recap For Week 6
Injuries are piling up in the NFL at an alarming rate. In week six we saw some key players exit games for Chicago (QB Fields), San Francisco (RB McCaffrey and WR Samuel) and Tennessee (QB Tannehill), just to name a few.
In this week's article I will attempt to look at several teams in the NFC and assess the impact of injuries that may sideline some key players. I'll do the same for the AFC in next week's article.
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NFL Injury Analysis – NFC
Arizona: Losing RB James Conner is likely to greatly impact Arizona's ability to establish the running game, which will put additional pressure on QB Joshua Dobbs.
Carolina: Cluster injuries to the OL and secondary have the winless Panthers scrambling to find replacements. In addition, RB Miles Sanders is week to week, and of course, impact DB Jaycee Horn was previously put on IR.
We've seen the Panthers wear down in many a game this season and I expect that to continue for the near future.
Chicago: QB Justin Fields is likely going to miss another 2-3 weeks. Tyson Bagent was 10-14 for just 83 yards (one interception) vs. a very poor Minnesota pass defense.
In addition, their top two RB's were out, with Khalil Herbert (51-272-5.3 per carry) placed on IR. At least some of their injured DB's are back in action. Although the run game won't be completely stopped, look for decreased production overall from this offense.
Dallas: Two key members of their defense have been put on IR. The pass rush is still solid, but look for opposing teams with above average pass protection to test the Cowboy's pass defense.
Detroit: Losing RB David Montgomery last week had an immediate impact on their ground game (22 carries for just 40 yards). Rookie RB Gibbs might return vs. Baltimore, but he may not be at full strength. TE LaPorta is also dealing with an injury and his status is up in the air as I write this. Facing Baltimore's physical defense will be a challenge.
Green Bay: RB Aaron Jones has missed three of five games, and has 14 carries in total. He might return this week and he gets a favorable matchup at Denver, but the game is in altitude and fatigue might be a factor for him.
A bigger concern would be if LB Quay Walker and Safety Darnell Savage missed time. They are #1 and #3 in tackles. In addition, former All-Pro LB De'Vondre Campbell has missed the last two games and his status is unknown.
Green Bay is coming off their bye week which helps, but check the injury reports (especially the official Friday report) carefully. Denver is off their mini-bye week, and could implement some changes to their offense.
Los Angeles Rams: RB Kyren Williams had a stat sheet of 58 carries for 314 yards the last three games, including 20-158 last week but he's set to miss about three weeks according to early week reports.
That puts an extra hardship on QB Matthew Stafford, who certainly can handle the task but he'll get hit quite a bit more, creating an injury risk.
Minnesota: The question I posed on the Friday Inside Blitz podcast was this: How much is WR Justin Jefferson worth? We know QB's can be worth anywhere from three to even nine or ten points depending on the quality of the backup, but players at other positions are seldom worth even one point (think elite pass rushers such as Aaron Donald or T.J. Watt).