Troy vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 2-16-2023

The Troy Trojans and Arkansas State Red Wolves will play Thursday at First National Bank Arena. Tip-off from Jonesboro, AR, is at 8:30 p.m. ET. The Trojans are five-point spread favorites and the game total is 129.5 points.

Troy, 16-11 SU and 13-11 ATS, defeated Louisiana 80-65 on Saturday. The Trojans are 3-2 straight-up in their past five and 8-6 in Sun Belt Conference competition.

Arkansas State, 10-17 SU and 8-15-1 ATS, lost to Georgia Southern on Saturday. The Red Wolves are 1-4 straight-up in their past five and 2-12 in Sun Belt play.

Troy defeated Arkansas State 66-54 on Jan. 7. The Trojans held the Red Wolves to 32.8 percent shooting, including 26.7 percent from three-point range. Arkansas State kept it close with a 40-33 rebounding advantage, collecting 13 offensive rebounds, but couldn't rally enough to win on the road.

Troy leads the a ll-time series 15-11.

Troy is on a three-game winning streak after taking down Texas State, South Alabama, and Louisiana. The Trojans are in a fourth-place tie with Old Dominion in the Sun Belt standings, four games behind conference leaders Southern Miss.

Troy defeated Louisiana by 15 at home over the weekend, shooting nearly 55 percent from the floor and outrebounding the Ragin' Cajuns 39-34 with 13 offensive rebounds. The Trojans assisted on 19 of their 29 made field goals and recorded nine steals. Senior forward Zay Williams paced Troy with 26 points, ten rebounds, and four assists.

The Trojans average 72.5 points per game (158th) and shoot 44.4 percent from the floor (192nd) with a 32.0 shooting percentage from three (292nd). They convert 69.8 percent of their free-throw attempts (239th) and average 31.4 rebounds (214th) with a +1.0 rebounding margin. Troy is 194th in schedule-adjusted offensive efficiency and 230th in effective field goal percentage (49.4%).

The Trojans give up 65.5 points per game on defense (66th), and their opponents shoot 41.9 percent (83rd), including 31.3 percent from beyond the arc (54th). Troy is 95th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 200th in assist-per-turnover ratio.

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