Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds, Picks, Predictions: Can Dallas Put on a Show at Home?

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We could see fireworks in Dallas on Monday night as Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are expected to suit up for their first home game as teammates. Read on for our Timberwolves vs. Mavericks NBA picks based on the best NBA odds.

The Mavericks (31-27) have won two of three games since the arrival of Kyrie Irving. When they host the Timberwolves (30-29), it will be the first opportunity for Dallas fans to see Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving running the show at home. It's an offense that could feature plenty of fireworks, considering the recent struggles of the Minnesota defense.

Here is our best Timberwolves vs. Mavericks NBA pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks pick

Bot h the Mavericks and Timberwolves have poor season-long trends in covering spreads at home and on the road, respectively, so there's not a lot to like about backing either side in this particular matchup. The total, though, could be a way to find an edge as both teams have favored Over in their respective circumstances for Monday.

The Mavs have gone 16-12 on Overs at home this season, while Timberwolves road games are 15-12 on Overs on the year. Four of Dallas' last five games have gone Over the total and things have the potential to pick up even more for the Mavs offensively as Irving and Doncic are both healthy and active.

Minnesota has allowed the 12th-most points per game on the road this season at 116.8. The Timberwolves have cashed five consecutive Overs heading into Monday night. That run includes three Overs on this current road trip for which the total has cleared by an average margin of 19.3 point s.

Five of the last six Timberwolves games have cleared 232.5 total points. I like the new-look Dallas lineup to hit its stride offensively against a struggling defense, as the Timberwolves have allowed 130.6 points per game on the road trip.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks best odds

DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	PointsBet
232.5	232.5	232.5	232.5	232.5
-110	-110	-110	-110	-110

As of this writing, we're looking at a rare scenario where shopping around for the best combination of line and odds might not do a savvy bettor much good. Currently, all five of our recommended sportsbooks list the total at 232.5 with standard -110 odds on both sides of an O/U wager.

The line has only moved against us by one point, which is encouraging given that the Over has seen 68% of wagers. If the number moves beyond 233.5, this recommendation would reduce to a three-star play.