The Masters Betting Preview
Sportsmemo golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the The Masters teeing off from Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, GA. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding The Masters this week!
| The Masters | PGA Tour Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| When: | April 6-9 |
| Where: | Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, GA |
| Defending Champ: | Scottie Scheffler |
| Current Favorite: | Scottie Scheffler (+700 at DraftKings) |
| TV: | ESPN & CBS |
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The Masters Odds Board
Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuel or DraftKings)
Jon Rahm +3.02 (+950)
Scottie Scheffler +2.78 (+700)
Rory McIlroy +2.63 (+750)
Patrick Cantlay +2.40 (+2000)
Tony Finau +2.30 (+2500)
Jason Day +2.24 (+2900)
Xander Schauffele +2.12 (+2500)
Max Homa +1.90 (+3200)
Collin Morikawa +1.84 (+2500)
Viktor Hovland +1.82 (+3700)
From Nick Borrman:
The best week of the year has arrived. The beauty of this week, as someone who writes golf articles and previews every tournament, is that this is one week I don't have to break it down too much.
Even the more casual golf fans are familiar, at least somewhat, with Augusta National. So instead, I'll focus on what matters here, or at least, what history has proven to be the path to victory.
Course history at Augusta matters. There is no course where it matters more. Those that tend to perform well here, perform well year after year. There is also a learning curve at Augusta National.
Data Golf put together a great graphic to visualize players' performance at The Masters in relation to their experience in the tournament.
In the first and second tries at Augusta, players on average lost strokes to the field and it wasn't again until year 20 that they again lose strokes to the field (with 20 years of experience, you are clearly getting older and no longer playing in your prime).
On their third year they began gaining strokes over the field. The number of strokes gained then steadily rises until peaking in year nine.
The most consistent period of peak performance at Augusta National are those players contending in their 7th to 13th Masters.
Players who fall into that range this week include:
Patrick Cantlay, Tyrrell Hatton, Shane Lowry, Bryson DeChambeau, Tommy Fleetwood, Si Woo Kim, Russell Henley, Keegan Bradley, Danny Willett, Cameron Smith, Kevin Kisner, Jon Rahm, Brooks Koepka, Billy Horschel, Justin Thomas, Gary Woodland, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Patrick Reed, Jordan Spieth, Francesco Molinari, Jason Day, Kevin Na, Hideki Matsuyama and Dustin Johnson.
A couple notable names it does not include is Rory McIlroy, who is starting in his 15th Masters, as well as Justin Rose, Tiger Woods and Adam Scott, who have all passed their peak performance years at Augusta.
Of course, that doesn't mean someone outside of that list can't win, case in point Scottie Scheffler last year, but the point is, the more experience, the better at August National.
In addition to course history, there are a ton of trends to help narrow it down this week, these are a few of my favorite: