TCU vs. Kansas State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 3-9-2023

The TCU Horned Frogs will play the Kansas State Wildcats on Thursday in the Phillips 66 Big 12 Tournament. Tip-off from Kansas City is at 9:30 p.m. ET. The Horned Frogs are two-point spread favorites and the game total is 146.5 points.

TCU (20-11 SU and 15-15-1 ATS) lost to Oklahoma in its regular season finale. The Horned Frogs are 3-2 straight-up in their past five overall. Sophomore center Eddie Lampkin Jr. (6.3 PPG and 5.9 RPG) is questionable to play with an undisclosed issue.

K-State (23-8 SU and 20-11 ATS) lost to West Virginia on Saturday. The Wildcats are 4-1 straight-up in their last five games.

The Horned Frogs and Wildcats split their two regular-season meetings, as each home squad was a winner.

TCU managed to win three of its last five after dropping four straight games, giving it some momentum for the conference tournament. The question is, will the Horned Frogs capitalize on their opportunity?

OU beat TCU 74-60 over the weekend, holding the Horned Frogs to 21 first-half points. The Sooners shot 50 percent and held TCU to 37.7 percent. Oklahoma also got to the free-throw line often (17-for-23) and outrebounded Texas Christian 40-26. It led by as many as 24 points and never trailed.

Junior guard Mike Miles Jr. leads TCU in scoring. He averaged 17.2 points per game on 50 percent shooting during the regular season. Other players to watch when the Horned Frogs play are senior guard Damion Baugh (13.0 PPG and 6.0 APG), senior forward Emanuel Miller (12.8 PPG and 6.5 RPG), and sophomore forward JaKobe Coles (8.6 PPG).

TCU averages 75.5 points per game (92nd) and shoots 46.2 percent from the floor (83rd), including 29.6 percent from three (353rd). The Horned Frogs convert 70.1 percent of their free throws (243rd) and average 33.3 rebounds (90th) with a +1.8 rebounding margin. TCU is 57th in offensive efficiency, per KenPom, and 190th in effective field goal percentage (50.5%).

The Horned Frogs surrender 68.0 points per game on defense (123rd), and their opponents shoot 42.5 percent (105th), includi ng 31.1 percent from three-point range (41st). TCU is 24th in defensive efficiency, 38th in assist-per-turnover ratio, and 48th in tempo.

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