The Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (5-7) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Atlanta.
The Falcons are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Steelers vs. Falcons Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.
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Steelers vs. Falcons Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this Week 13 game with 51.7% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread this Week 13 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- Mitchell Trubisky has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Marcus Mariota has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 42% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 48% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 5-5 (-0.5 Units / -4.15% ROI).
- Steelers are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 6.81% ROI
- Steelers are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Steelers are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- Falcons are 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -12.9% ROI
- Falcons are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Falcons are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Steelers are winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.
The Steelers are winless (0-3) vs top 10 run offenses this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.
The Steelers are winless (0-5) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .405.
The Steelers were 6-1 (.857) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .459.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Falcons are winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.
The Falcons are 2-1 (.667) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .539.