The New Orleans Saints (4-8) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6) on Dec. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Tampa for Monday Night Football.
The Buccaneers are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Saints vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Buccaneers vs Saints & all NFL games with BetMGM
Saints vs. Buccaneers Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 13 game with 67.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread this Week 13 with 52.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Saints and Buccaneers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Buccaneers vs Saints and all NFL games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 Risk-Free Bet
Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mark Ingram has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mark Ingram has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Taysom Hill has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 78% ROI)
- Chris Olave has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the Completions Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Leonard Fournette has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 54% ROI)
Saints Best Bets for Week 13:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+5.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.50 Units / 39% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints have gone 4-8 (-4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Saints are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -27.83% ROI
- Saints are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Saints are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / ROI
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone 3-7 (-4.75 Units / -39.09% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -43.04% ROI
- Buccaneers are 2-9 when betting the Over for -7.9 Units / -65.29% ROI
- Buccaneers are 9-2 when betting the Under for +6.8 Units / 56.2% ROI
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Saints are 3-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — tied for best in NFL. The Buccaneers has allowed an average time of possession of 33 min and 33 s this season — highest in NFL.
The Saints are winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .267.
The Saints are winless (0-5) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .448.
The Saints are winless (0-4) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Buccaneers are winless (0-4) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.