The Colorado Rockies (+185) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-225) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s game with 67.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Runs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 38% (26/69) versus Kyle Freeland on changeups in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has averaged 88.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — second Percentile.
Kyle Freeland recorded no strikeouts in 16 PA’s (0% strikeout rate) in close and late situations in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Opponents batted .275 (82-for-298) against Kyle Freeland when behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .196 — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (155/574) versus Zac Gallen in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Zac Gallen threw breaking pitches down 83% of the time (633/764) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 55% of Zac Gallen’s pitches (543/992) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents batted just .207 (17-for-82) against Zac Gallen on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .274 — 91st Percentile.