The Cincinnati Reds () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Reds vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 44-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 62-49 ATS.
Reds vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 40 away games (+11.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+15.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 39 games at home (+14.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+13.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Mets vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Mets vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| James McCann | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jeff McNeil | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Peter Alonso | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
Mets vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 81 games (+15.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+8.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 83 games (+8.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 111 games (+20.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 111 games (+15.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 111 games (+15.77 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 52-57 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -7.89% ROI).
- 44-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -7.5% ROI
- 55-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -3.39% ROI
- 53-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -6.36% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 62-49 against the Run Line (+15.8 Units / 11.74% ROI).
- 72-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.75 Units / 12.44% ROI
- 57-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 4.06% ROI
- 47-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -12.47% ROI
Timothy James Zeuch: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Taijuan Walker: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 105 of Taijuan Walker’s 473 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 22%) since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 35% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 35% (243/690) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 46% — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 20% (58/297) against Taijuan Walker since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .389 (21-for-54) against Taijuan Walker on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.