The Cincinnati Reds (+155) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-190) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Reds vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 42-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 45-61 ATS.
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 65.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ashby | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 -105 |
| Nick Lodolo | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 50-55 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -8.3% ROI).
- 42-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -9.59% ROI
- 54-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.5% ROI
- 50-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.55 Units / -8.29% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 45-61 against the Run Line (-20.75 Units / -16.07% ROI).
- 58-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.3 Units / -8.43% ROI
- 54-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 2.13% ROI
- 47-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -9.99% ROI
Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Nick Lodolo breaking pitch was July 16th. Hitters are 0 for their last 15 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Pablo Lopez has the longest active streak at 25.
Nick Lodolo has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.0 innings pitched — Jason Foley has the longest active streak at 27.2.
The last hit on a Nick Lodolo curveball was July 16th. Hitters are 0 for their last 15 in ABs ending on his curveball. — Pablo Lopez has the longest active streak at 25.
Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of 59% (16 SO in 27 PAs) with two-strikes — 8th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 92nd Percentile.
Aaron Ashby: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 57% of Aaron Ashby’s pitches in the zone (412/725) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (124/222) against Aaron Ashby this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (103/180) against Aaron Ashby this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Aaron Ashby has a strikeout rate of 47% (61 SO in 130 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 92nd Percentile.