The Boston Red Sox (+145) visit CoolToday Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-175) on Tuesday, March 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EST in North Port.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Red Sox vs Braves Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Red Sox are 7-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 2-5 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 64.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yolmer Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jaylin Davis has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jaylin Davis has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+2.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jaylin Davis has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.60 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+2.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+9.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 133 games (+7.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 140 games (+23.04 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 116 games (+22.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 133 games (+21.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 8-2 against the Run Line (+7.05 Units / 58.75% ROI).
- 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 57.09% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -13.96% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 6.42% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 2-5 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -47.31% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -7.65% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 9.55% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -16.45% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
8 of Tanner Houck’s 29 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) were backdoor last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 11% — 95th Percentile.
Tanner Houck had a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (127/244) last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Tanner Houck walked 14 of 101 left-handed batters (14%) last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — fifth Percentile.
42% of Tanner Houck’s fastball strikeouts were located inside last season — 11th highest among among 123 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 91st Percentile.