It's a battle of two top seeds in the men's national championship game as the Purdue Boilermakers go toe to toe with the UConn Huskies, and we're offering our Purdue vs. UConn player props based on the top March Madness odds.
It's a showdown of epic proportions as the Purdue Boilermakers (34-4) aim to pull off a stunning upset against the UConn Huskies (36-3) in the men's national championship game on Monday at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz. According to our best sports betting sites, the Huskies are favored by 6.5 points, with the game scheduled to tip off at 9:20 p.m. ET (TBS).
The spotlight in this matchup will be on Zach Edey, the frontrunner by the Wooden Award odds, as he faces off against Donovan Clingan, UConn's imposing big man and the favorite by the March Madness MVP odds. With these two behemoths battling it out in the paint, expect a clash r eminiscent of Godzilla vs. King Kong.
To complement our Purdue vs. UConn prediction, here are our best Purdue vs. UConn player props (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Purdue vs. UConn player props
Best odds: -111 via FanDuel
All season, Edey has used his size-7-foot-4, 300 pounds-to bully defenders in the paint and pluck rebounds with relative ease. Coming off his least impressive performance of the NCAA Tournament-32 combined points and rebounds against NC State-Edey is set to face his toughest opposition yet. Clingan, known as “Cling Kong” for his size at 7-foot-2, 280 pounds, is the perfect player to extinguish Edey's scoring and rebounding pace.
Behind Clingan, UConn is fourth in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency, per KenPom, and it allows the seventh-fewest r ebounds per game to opponents (30.2). This matchup could also wear on Edey, with Clingan's scoring skill (16.2 PPG in the NCAA Tournament) putting more pressure on the Boilermakers star on the defensive end.
This same prop is set at 36.5 at DraftKings with the Under at -125, making FanDuel's line an incredible value. The -125 odds imply a 55.56% probability it will hit, according to our odds calculator, but at -111, a $10 bet leads to a $9.01 profit.
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Best odds: +105 via DraftKings
All eyes will be on Edey vs. Clingan in the national championship. It's the best player in college basketball against one of the top 2024 NBA Draft prospects, and both happen to be built like Kaiju. While Edey is a prolific scorer, he's been prone to turnovers, leaning on power rather than grace, opening the door for Clingan to pickpocket him.
The UConn center ranks as the best defender in the country by DBPR, per Evan Miya. While he's better known for his rim-protecting skills than his finesse, he's shown he can create turnovers with steals. With Edey averaging 2.3 turnovers per game and coming off a five-turnover performance against the Wolfpack, Clingan is poised to pick up at least one steal.
He's averaging 0.5 steals per game this season and has had at least one in three of five March Madness games – he's av eraging 1.0 per game in the NCAA Tournament. The +105 odds at DraftKings would turn a $10 wager into a $10.50 profit if the Over hits, with the odds representing a 48.78% probability.
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Best odds: -115 via bet365
The two mammoths duking it out in the paint may make the headlines, but UConn's best player this season has been All-American guard Tristen Newton. Despite Newton's inconsistencies as a shooter throughout the NCAA Tournament, he's been able to compensate by setting up others.
With Newton as the Huskies' lead guard, they're first in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, and he's leading the team with 6.2 per game. He's been even better during March Madness with 7.2 apples per outing, and he's coming off a 9-assist game against Alabama in the Final Four.
Even with Purdue's defense ranking 12th in adjusted efficiency, it's struggled against playmaking guards this season. The Boilermakers allow the second most assists per game in college basketball (14.1). These -115 odds via bet365 imply a 53.49% proba bility Newton finishes with at least six assists, and a $10 bet would turn a $8.70 profit if he does.
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Purdue (1) vs. UConn (1) game info
- When: Monday, April 8
- Tip-off: 9:20 p.m. ET
- Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Az.
- How to watch: TBS
- Favorite: UConn -6.5 (-110 via Caesars)
Purdue vs. UConn odds
Purdue-UConn player props made Sunday at 11:00 a.m. ET.
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- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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