As the Purdue Boilermakers get ready to take on the UConn Huskies in the men's national championship, we're offering our best Purdue vs. UConn parlay prediction based on the top March Madness odds.
With the field of 68 at the NCAA Tournament down to just two teams, the Purdue Boilermakers (34-4) are set to take the court at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., to go toe to toe with the UConn Huskies (36-3) in the men's national championship on Monday.
The game is set for a 9:20 p.m. ET (TBS) tip with our best sports betting sites favoring UConn by 6.5 to 7.5 points. Coming off a Final Four victory over the Alabama Crimson Tide, the Huskies are on the hunt for their second straight national championship as they look to neutralize Zach Edey, a March Madness MVP odds favorite.
Here is our best Purdue vs . UConn parlay prediction (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Don't forget to check out our Purdue vs. UConn prediction, Purdue vs. UConn player props, and our men's national championship expert picks.
Purdue vs. UConn parlay for the men's national championship
(Odds via FanDuel)
- UConn -6.5 (-115) ???
- Tristen Newton Over 6.5 assists (+108) ????
- Zach Edey Under 12.5 points (-120) ???
Combined odds: +457 via FanDuel
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SGP predictions for Purdue vs. UConn
The biggest reason we're going with FanDuel for this SGP is because it's the only one of our five best sports betting apps to still be offering the Huskies -6.5. UConn is now -7 to -7.5 at our other best books with Dan Hurley's team having dominated its last 11 NCAA Tournament games.
While 6.5 points may seem like a lot in the national championship – and against the Wooden Award odds favorite no less – UConn has been the best team in the country for over a year. The Huskies are first in college basketball in adjusted offensive efficiency and fourth in adjusted defensive efficiency, per KenPom.
The depth is what makes UConn so dangerous with seven players playing meaningful minutes, led by All-American Tristen Newton and defenisve anchor Donovan Clingan. With Clingan's 7-foot-2, 280-pound frame, UConn is uniquely equipped to deal with Edey, who has taken advantage of much smaller team's throughout the tournament.
Dating back to last season's national championship run, UConn has outscored NCAA Tournament opponents by an average margin of 22.2 points – its closest win was by 13 against the Miami Hurricanes in last year's Final Four. These -115 odds imply a 53.49% probability UConn covers, according to our odds calculator.
Another plus of going with FanDuel for this SGP is that it set Newton's assists line at 6.5 with +108 odds. Our other best live betting sites have his assists at 5.5 with shorter odds, but we're comfortable takin g the Over on 6.5 to give our SGP longer odds.
Newton is UConn's lone All-American and while he has struggled to score during the NCAA Tournament, he's been a top-end playmaker. He's averaging 7.2 assists per game during March Madness and has had at least eight in three of five games, including nine against Alabama in the Final Four. While Purdue's defense ranks 12th in adjusted efficiency, it allows the second most assists per game in the country (14.1).
To cap off our SGP, we're betting against Edey, despite his dominance throughout the NCAA Tournament. While he's averaging 15.4 rebounds per game in March Madness, he's taken advantage of undersized teams. Against NC State, he finished with just 12 rebounds – a shade under his season average of 12.2 – while having to deal with the length of Mohamed Diarra and the width of D.J. Burns.
Unlike the previous programs the Boilermakers have played in this NCAA Tournament, UConn has a massive man of its own in Clingan. The Huskies center has proven to be a dominant force down low, ranking No. 1 in the country in DBPR, per EvanMiya. With Clingan's team-leading 7.4 rebounds per game (he's averaging 9.0 in the NCAA Tournament), UConn allows the seventh fewest rebounds to opponents in the country (30.2) and the third fewest defensive rebounds (20.3).
The -120 odds at FanDuel give the Under a 54.55% probability of hitting, while lengthening our SGP to +457. With the +457 odds, a $10 wager would lead to a $45.70 profit if each leg of the SGP were to hit.
Purdue-UConn SGP picks made Monday at 10:30 a.m. ET.
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