I will be breaking down various MLB bets and futures during the baseball season. We are already just a month away from Opening Day and I’m just starting to shop around for futures. To start I dive into the AL MVP, NL Rookie of the Year, and talk about my favorite future for the WBC.
AL MVP
Shohei Ohtani is…..overvalued to win the AL MVP. There’s no way I could justify betting him at +240 before the MLB season even starts. Making money betting on futures isn’t as simple as just betting on the best player. The odds are important, and in this case, Ohtani is nowhere near the price I’d want to even consider betting on him.
Also, Ohtani is a potential trade deadline acquisition for another team, and if we assume that the Angels aren’t going to deal him to a team in their own division, and most likely would send him to the National League, there’s the additional risk that even if he has an elite MVP season and looks like he’s running away with the award, he could end up finishing the season in the National League and would likely not win either MVP award.