Today’s Pitcher Prop Picks For August 8
WagerTalk MLB player prop Expert Andy Lang provides his MLB pitcher prop picks and predictions for Tuesday, August 8 with odds provided by DraftKings. Get his best pitcher prop picks before first pitch!
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Pitcher Prop Prediction 1: Carlos Carrasco Under 15.5 Outs Recorded (-135)
It’s been a forgettable 2023 campaign for New York Mets starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco who is 3-6 with a 6.60 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and only 52 strikeouts across 76.1 innings pitched.
Carrasco has fallen short of recording 16+ outs in 12 of 16 games on the season for a 75% success rate to the under. He did clear that number in his best start of the season against the Chicago Cubs on May 25th where he allowed only one run on five hits across 6.2 innings.
However, the Cubs lineup is on a completely different level right now as they have scored 62 runs in their last 8 games.
They also rank #1 in on-base percentage, slugging percentage and wRC+ against right-handed pitching across the last 30 days.
Carrasco is now in horrible form with 21 runs allowed in only 23.1 innings of work in his last five starts resulting in an ERA north of 8.00. It’s the perfect storm with the league’s hottest lineup looking to feast on a vulnerable starter, take the under 15.5 outs on Carrasco tonight.
Pitcher Prop Prediction 2: Julio Urias Over 16.5 Outs Recorded (-125)
Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Julio Urias is 8-6 on the season with a 4.69 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 82 strikeouts across 86.1 innings of work.
Urias has been a consistent over on this number, going over in 11 of 16 games for a 69% success rate. This includes an outing against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the opening week of the season where Urias allowed only two runs on four hits across a full six innings.
The Diamondbacks lineup ranks below average against left-handed pitching across the board on the season and across the last 30 days.
Current Arizona sluggers combine for only 21-108 (.194) with four home runs against Urias in their careers. This includes key hitters like Ketel Marte 5-22 (.227), Christian Walker 4-21 (.190), Tommy Pham 3-17 (.176) and Corbin Carroll 0-2 (.000).
The Diamondbacks lineup has been struggling to score runs with only 15 combined runs scored in their last 8 games.
They have consistently had issues hitting Urias and he should be counted on to pitch well into the 6th inning and eclipse this total.
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