Today’s Pitcher Prop Picks For August 7
WagerTalk MLB player prop Expert Andy Lang provides his MLB pitcher prop picks and predictions for Monday, August 7 with odds provided by DraftKings. Get his best pitcher prop picks before first pitch!
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Pitcher Prop Prediction 1: Kodai Senga Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-150)
New York Mets starting pitcher Kodai Senga is 7-6 on the season with a 3.25 ERA and 136 strikeouts across 110.2 innings of work.
He has fallen short of pitching a full six innings in four of his last seven games and 11 of 20 starts on the season. This includes an outing on May 24th against tonight’s opponent the Chicago Cubs where he allowed three runs on six hits and five walks across only five innings of work.
That was before the Cubs offense caught fire and scored 60 runs in their last 7 games. During the last 30 days, they first in OBA, 5th in walk percentage with a 149 wRC+ against right-handed pitching.
The Mets bullpen is in great shape after only needed to utilize two arms yesterday a day after Ryan Yarbrough ate 4.1 innings out of the bullpen.
Senga is also on short rest as the Mets deal with the aftermath of trading away veteran starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander. Take his outs under against the lineup no pitcher wants to face right now.
Pitcher Prop Prediction 2: Trevor Williams Under 15.5 Outs Recorded (-145)
Washington Nationals starting pitcher Trevor Williams is 5-6 on the season with a 4.72 ERA and 149 WHIP with 79 strikeouts across 108.2 innings of work.
He has fallen short of recording 16+ outs in 7 of his last 10 outings and 13 of 22 starts on the season for a 59% success rate to the under. Williams has already faced the Philadelphia Phillies twice in 2023 and recorded 15 & 17 outs while allowing a combined 7 runs on 12 hits and 6 walks.
Current Philly sluggers bat a combined .315 against Williams with 13 home runs across 143 plate appearances. Key sluggers like have feasted on Willams including Nick Castellanos 11-28 two home runs, Bryce Harper 3-9, Kyle Schwarber 10-37 four home runs and JT Realmuto 5-10 four home runs.
We also have some potential weather issues tonight at Citizens Bank Park, meaning Williams could get pulled early if there was a delay that forced him to the dugout.
Regardless Williams has fallen short of this total more often than not and this is a lineup that he has consistently struggled against. Give me the under 15.5 on his outs recorded tonight in Philadelphia.
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