Today’s Pitcher Prop Picks For August 10
WagerTalk MLB player prop Expert Andy Lang provides his MLB pitcher prop picks and predictions for Thursday, August 10 with odds provided by DraftKings. Get his best pitcher prop picks before first pitch!
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Pitcher Prop Prediction 1: Patrick Corbin Under 16.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
Washington Nationals starting pitcher Patrick Corbin has recorded 17+ outs in 15 of 23 starts for a 65% success rate to the over.
This flies in the face of his 7-11 record, 5.03 ERA and 1.50 WHIP during the 2023 campaign. Corbin also has yet to face a Philadelphia Phillies lineup whose current sluggers bat a combined 45-141 (.319) with six home runs and 22 RBI against him.
This includes key sluggers like Bryce Harper 11-38 (.289), Kyle Schwarber 5-14 (.357) two home runs and Alec Bohm 7-20 (.350) two home runs.
We also have some interesting weather scenarios as there could be rain that would mess with pitchers timing and routines. There is also a 19% home run boost based on the conditions at Citizens Bank Park tonight according to Ballpark Pal on Twitter.
Corbin has consistently struggled against this lineup, but we get -105 odds based on his track record to the over. Take advantage and play the under 16.5 outs tonight in Philly.
Pitcher Prop Prediction 2: Ty Blach Under 15.5 Outs Recorded (-180)
Colorado Rockies relief pitcher turned starter is 1-1 on the season with a 4.85 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and only 11 strikeouts across 26 innings of work.
He has yet to pitch past the 5th inning this season with 4.2, 5 and 3 innings pitched in outings against Tampa Bay, St. Louis and Miami. Now Blach faces the Dodgers lineup that ranks top-3 in wOBA, ISO and wRC+ on the season.
Current Dodger sluggers are batting .257 against Blach with three home runs and 13 RBI across 118 plate appearances. The Dodgers have won four straight and 8 of their last 9 games while scoring 7+ runs in 6 of those 9 games.
Blach has maxed out at 80 pitches during the 2023 campaign, and he will be facing a patient and veteran lineup.
He hasn’t pitched past the 5th inning yet this season and we shouldn’t expect him to get the job done against a loaded LA lineup. Take the under but lower your unit size based on the extremely high juice.
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