Pirates vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 6

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-155) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 5:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Pirates vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 43-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 69-37 ATS.

Pirates vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s matchup with 77.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Michael Chavis has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jake Marisnick has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 27 games (+17.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 43 games at home (+16.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 27 games at home (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Orioles vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
    Austin Hays 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

    Orioles vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
    Anthony Santander 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
    Austin Hays 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
    Cedric Mullins 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

    Orioles vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
    Austin Hays 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +225 0.5 -350

    Orioles vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Austin Voth 3.5 -150 3.5 +105

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+12.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 32 games (+4.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 47 away games (+4.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 86 games (+26.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 86 games (+26.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 68 games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 56-50 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.3% ROI).

    • 43-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.18% ROI
    • 45-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -12.85% ROI
    • 55-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 4.73% ROI

    Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 69-37 against the Run Line (+24.85 Units / 17.78% ROI).

    • 55-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.4 Units / 20.2% ROI
    • 49-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -6.7% ROI
    • 53-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.63% ROI

    Hitters have swung at 53% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (545/1,036) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

    JT Brubaker has located his fastball up for a strike just 50% (438/870) of the time since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.

    Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (295/870) against JT Brubaker on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.

    Hitters have swung at 52% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (261/499) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

    Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents are hitting .224 (57-for-255) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .157 — first Percentile.

    Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of .981 (139 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .629 — first Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .352 (44-for-125) against Austin Voth versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 0 Percentile.

    Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .357 (91 Total Bases / 255 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.

    Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

      
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