The Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Monday, April 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Pirates are 10-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 6-8 ATS.
Pirates vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-0, 1.90 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-1, 5.40 ERA
Pirates vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Mets Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 11-4 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 38.88% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 33.03% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.51% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -10.94% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 6-8 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -11.11% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -16.22% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -4.58% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -5.16% ROI
Mets vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Mets vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser (NYM) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (59/101) this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (59/101) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 14% (46/331) against Martin Perez in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .053 (1 Total Bases / 19 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — 93rd Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 39% of Adrian Houser’s non-fastballs (478/1,239) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Adrian Houser threw fastballs 77% of the time (290/375) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 13% (10/77) versus Adrian Houser with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser threw fastballs 74% of the time (401/544) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.