The Pittsburgh Pirates (+190) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-250) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Pirates vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Pirates are 44-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 61-46 ATS.
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+8.10 Units / 119% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh VanMeter has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.40 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 39 of his last 68 games (+27.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 50 of his last 71 games (+17.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 47 of his last 68 games (+14.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 60 games (+12.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+9.55 Units / 80% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 99 games (+6.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 102% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 67 games (+3.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 29 games (+15.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 96 games (+14.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 games at home (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.00 Units / 21% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 57-51 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -0.59% ROI).
- 44-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 0.4% ROI
- 46-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -11.78% ROI
- 55-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 3.64% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 61-46 against the Run Line (+12.15 Units / 8.8% ROI).
- 48-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -4.83% ROI
- 48-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -9.44% ROI
- 54-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.25% ROI
Tyler Beede: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (9/56) against Tyler Beede on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — fourth Percentile.
Tyler Beede has a strikeout rate of just 13% (25 SO in 188 PAs) this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Tyler Beede has struck out just 15% (13/89) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (23/69) against Tyler Beede this season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (26/146) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .140 (14-for-100) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (181/870) against Zac Gallen this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .206 (84-for-408) against Zac Gallen this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 88th Percentile.