Pick Center

Leagues Tennis - ATP Toronto - R2

11:00 AM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Emilio Nava
+246
+1.5
(-110)
O 2.5
(+163)
Ugo Humbert
-286
-1.5
(-106)
U 2.5
(-190)

Moneyline Movements: 6

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+2.99%

Emilio Nava Win Probability: 28.90%

Ugo Humbert Win Probability: 74.09%

28.90%
74.09%
12:30 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
+158
+1.5
(-165)
O 2.5
(+138)
Holger Rune
-179
-1.5
(+142)
U 2.5
(-160)

Moneyline Movements: 10

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+2.92%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Win Probability: 38.76%

Holger Rune Win Probability: 64.16%

38.76%
64.16%
12:30 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Tomas Barrios Vera
+363
+1.5
(+122)
O 2.5
(+193)
Alex Michelsen
-437
-1.5
(-141)
U 2.5
(-226)

Moneyline Movements: None

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+2.98%

Tomas Barrios Vera Win Probability: 21.60%

Alex Michelsen Win Probability: 81.38%

21.60%
81.38%
12:30 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Alexandre Muller
+179
+1.5
(-151)
O 2.5
(+138)
Miomir Kecmanovic
-205
-1.5
(+131)
U 2.5
(-160)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+3.05%

Alexandre Muller Win Probability: 35.84%

Miomir Kecmanovic Win Probability: 67.21%

35.84%
67.21%
1:00 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Karen Khachanov
-1000
-1.5
(-221)
O 2.5
(+241)
Juan Pablo Ficovich
+752
+1.5
(+189)
U 2.5
(-286)

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+2.65%

Karen Khachanov Win Probability: 90.91%

Juan Pablo Ficovich Win Probability: 11.74%

90.91%
11.74%
2:30 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Lorenzo Musetti
-443
-1.5
(-138)
O 2.5
(+186)
James Duckworth
+368
+1.5
(+119)
U 2.5
(-218)

Moneyline Movements: 8

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+2.95%

Lorenzo Musetti Win Probability: 81.58%

James Duckworth Win Probability: 21.37%

81.58%
21.37%
2:30 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Tallon Griekspoor
-217
-1.5
(+119)
O 2.5
(+154)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
+189
+1.5
(-138)
U 2.5
(-179)

Moneyline Movements: 5

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+3.05%

Tallon Griekspoor Win Probability: 68.45%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry Win Probability: 34.60%

68.45%
34.60%
3:00 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Nicolas Arseneault
+1018
+1.5
(+277)
O 2.5
(+342)
Alexei Popyrin
-1429
-1.5
(-334)
U 2.5
(-421)

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+2.40%

Nicolas Arseneault Win Probability: 8.94%

Alexei Popyrin Win Probability: 93.46%

8.94%
93.46%
4:30 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Nuno Borges
-646
-1.5
(-183)
O 2.5
(+231)
Facundo Bagnis
+514
+1.5
(+156)
U 2.5
(-274)

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+2.89%

Nuno Borges Win Probability: 86.60%

Facundo Bagnis Win Probability: 16.29%

86.60%
16.29%
5:00 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Roman Safiullin
+204
+1.5
(-138)
O 2.5
(+143)
Casper Ruud
-235
-1.5
(+120)
U 2.5
(-166)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+3.04%

Roman Safiullin Win Probability: 32.89%

Casper Ruud Win Probability: 70.15%

32.89%
70.15%
6:30 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Reilly Opelka
+135
+1.5
(-193)
O 2.5
(+134)
Tomas Machac
-153
-1.5
(+166)
U 2.5
(-154)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+3.02%

Reilly Opelka Win Probability: 42.55%

Tomas Machac Win Probability: 60.47%

42.55%
60.47%
7:00 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Denis Shapovalov
-172
-1.5
(+159)
O 2.5
(+125)
Learner Tien
+150
+1.5
(-184)
U 2.5
(-146)

Moneyline Movements: 6

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+3.24%

Denis Shapovalov Win Probability: 63.24%

Learner Tien Win Probability: 40.00%

63.24%
40.00%
9:00 PM (7/29/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Alexander Zverev
-1076
-1.5
(-265)
O 2.5
(+284)
Adam Walton
+803
+1.5
(+224)
U 2.5
(-343)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+2.57%

Alexander Zverev Win Probability: 91.50%

Adam Walton Win Probability: 11.07%

91.50%
11.07%

Tennis Betting Videos

Learn More About ATP Toronto - R2 (Tennis)

The ATP Toronto is part of the ATP Masters 1000 series, making it one of the most prestigious events outside the Grand Slams. It's also known as the National Bank Open and is held annually in Canada, alternating cities each year between Toronto (men’s) and Montreal (women’s). In years when the men play in Toronto, the women’s tournament is held in Montreal, and vice versa.

Key Facts:

  • Surface: Outdoor hard court

  • Draw Size: 56 singles players (with byes for top seeds) and 28 doubles teams

  • Timing: Usually held in early August, just ahead of the US Open

  • Part of the US Open Series, acting as a lead-up tournament that helps players tune up for the final Grand Slam of the year

It features the top-ranked ATP players, often attracting the entire Top 10. Champions here often go on to have strong performances in the US Open due to the similar conditions.


Tournament Format:

  • Seeding: Top 8 seeds usually get a bye into the second round.

  • Scoring Format: Best of 3 sets, standard tiebreak rules.

  • Weather Factor: Being outdoors, rain and heat can delay or affect matches.

  • Conditions: Hard court is medium-paced, favoring aggressive baseliners with strong serve and return games.


Player Profiles & Style Advantages:

  • Aggressive baseliners and big servers thrive here due to the pace and bounce.

  • Players who do well in the US hard court swing (Atlanta, Washington, Cincinnati) often carry that form into Toronto.

  • Fatigue, travel, and altitude play into handicapping — especially with players coming off European clay or grass seasons.


How to Bet on ATP Toronto:

1. Outright Winner (Futures):

  • What it is: Picking the player you believe will win the entire tournament before or during the early rounds.

  • Strategy: Look for players with a strong hard-court track record, good form in lead-up events, and solid past performance in Toronto or similar conditions.

2. Match Winner (Moneyline):

  • What it is: Bet on the winner of a specific match.

  • Strategy: Consider:

    • Head-to-head history

    • Surface preference

    • Player fatigue/injuries

    • Motivation (some use this as US Open prep)

3. Set Betting:

  • Example: Player A to win 2-0 or 2-1.

  • Great for value when a favorite is likely to win but could drop a set, or when an underdog typically starts slow but finishes strong.

4. Game/Set Totals (Over/Under):

  • What it is: Bet on the total number of games or sets in a match.

  • Strategy: Useful when two servers are dominant or two grinders could go deep into sets with tiebreaks.

5. Handicap/Spread Betting:

  • What it is: Bet on a player to cover a spread of games (e.g., -3.5 games).

  • Strategy: Useful when a favorite is expected to win comfortably but is priced too short on the moneyline.

6. Live Betting:

  • Hard court matches often have momentum swings. Breaks of serve can be rare, so betting after early breaks or set changes can offer opportunity.

  • Keep an eye on service hold percentages, in-play stats like 1st serve %, return points won, and physical signs of fatigue.


Advanced Betting Angles:

  • Early Rounds: Upsets are common, especially for top players easing into form.

  • Later Rounds: Match quality and intensity increase — top players usually separate from the field.

  • Young Guns vs. Veterans: Young players often break out here, while veterans may manage workloads with the US Open in mind.

  • Weather: Heat and humidity may favor fitter athletes; rain delays can disrupt rhythm or lead to fatigue in compressed schedules.


Final Tips:

  • Use predictive metrics like ELO ratings, surface-specific win percentages, break point conversion/defense, and recent form indicators.

  • Watch for withdrawals or retirements, especially if a player is conserving energy for Grand Slams.

  • Keep tabs on doubles pairings as many singles players enter doubles here to gain match time or prep for bigger events.

ATP Toronto consistently delivers high-quality matches and betting value, especially for bettors who understand surface preferences, player trends, and match dynamics. The combination of prestige and hard-court momentum makes it a key stop on the tennis betting calendar.

IPA 216.73.216.122

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