Pick Center

Leagues MMA - UFC

4:10 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Valter Walker
-231
N/A
O 2.5
(-173)
Don Tale Mayes
+193
N/A
U 2.5
(+145)

Moneyline Movements: 55

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+3.92%

Valter Walker Win Probability: 69.79%

Don Tale Mayes Win Probability: 34.13%

69.79%
34.13%
4:10 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Kaue Fernandes
+152
N/A
N/A
Jared Gordon
-178
N/A
N/A

Moneyline Movements: 19

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: N/A

Sportsbook Edge
+3.71%

Kaue Fernandes Win Probability: 39.68%

Jared Gordon Win Probability: 64.03%

39.68%
64.03%
4:10 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Elijah Smith
-162
N/A
O 2.5
(-291)
Vince Morales
+139
N/A
U 2.5
(+229)

Moneyline Movements: 53

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+3.67%

Elijah Smith Win Probability: 61.83%

Vince Morales Win Probability: 41.84%

61.83%
41.84%
4:10 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Khaos Williams
+174
N/A
O 1.5
(-148)
Gabriel Bonfim
-206
N/A
U 1.5
(+125)

Moneyline Movements: 61

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+3.82%

Khaos Williams Win Probability: 36.50%

Gabriel Bonfim Win Probability: 67.32%

36.50%
67.32%
4:10 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Ketlen Souza
-109
N/A
O 2.5
(-541)
Angela Hill
-107
N/A
U 2.5
(+382)

Moneyline Movements: 76

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+3.84%

Ketlen Souza Win Probability: 52.15%

Angela Hill Win Probability: 51.69%

52.15%
51.69%
4:10 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jesus Aguilar
+305
N/A
O 2.5
(-109)
Rafael Estevam
-393
N/A
U 2.5
(-109)

Moneyline Movements: 36

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.41%

Jesus Aguilar Win Probability: 24.69%

Rafael Estevam Win Probability: 79.72%

24.69%
79.72%
4:10 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
-607
N/A
O 2.5
(-298)
Julia Avila
+434
N/A
U 2.5
(+235)

Moneyline Movements: 42

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.59%

Jacqueline Cavalcanti Win Probability: 85.86%

Julia Avila Win Probability: 18.73%

85.86%
18.73%
7:15 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Dylan Budka
+295
N/A
O 1.5
(-173)
Edmen Shahbazyan
-378
N/A
U 1.5
(+145)

Moneyline Movements: 43

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.40%

Dylan Budka Win Probability: 25.32%

Edmen Shahbazyan Win Probability: 79.08%

25.32%
79.08%
7:15 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Gregory Rodrigues
-219
N/A
O 2.5
(+110)
Jared Cannonier
+184
N/A
U 2.5
(-131)

Moneyline Movements: 51

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+3.86%

Gregory Rodrigues Win Probability: 68.65%

Jared Cannonier Win Probability: 35.21%

68.65%
35.21%
7:15 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Youssef Zalal
-432
N/A
O 2.5
(-213)
Calvin Kattar
+330
N/A
U 2.5
(+175)

Moneyline Movements: 35

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.46%

Youssef Zalal Win Probability: 81.20%

Calvin Kattar Win Probability: 23.26%

81.20%
23.26%
7:15 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Nazim Sadykhov
+170
N/A
O 2.5
(-154)
Ismael Bonfim
-200
N/A
U 2.5
(+129)

Moneyline Movements: 71

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+3.71%

Nazim Sadykhov Win Probability: 37.04%

Ismael Bonfim Win Probability: 66.67%

37.04%
66.67%
7:15 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Andre Petroski
+204
N/A
O 1.5
(-188)
Rodolfo Vieira
-248
N/A
U 1.5
(+156)

Moneyline Movements: 28

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.15%

Andre Petroski Win Probability: 32.89%

Rodolfo Vieira Win Probability: 71.26%

32.89%
71.26%
7:15 PM (2/15/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jose Delgado
-353
N/A
O 1.5
(-186)
Connor Matthews
+280
N/A
U 1.5
(+154)

Moneyline Movements: 44

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.24%

Jose Delgado Win Probability: 77.92%

Connor Matthews Win Probability: 26.32%

77.92%
26.32%
6:15 PM (2/22/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Ibo Aslan
-133
N/A
N/A
Ion Cutelaba
+114
N/A
N/A

Moneyline Movements: 8

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: N/A

Sportsbook Edge
+3.81%

Ibo Aslan Win Probability: 57.08%

Ion Cutelaba Win Probability: 46.73%

57.08%
46.73%
6:15 PM (2/22/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Macy Chiasson
-106
N/A
N/A
Ketlen Vieira
-110
N/A
N/A

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: N/A

Sportsbook Edge
+3.84%

Macy Chiasson Win Probability: 51.46%

Ketlen Vieira Win Probability: 52.38%

51.46%
52.38%
9:15 PM (2/22/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Dominick Cruz
+170
N/A
N/A
Rob Font
-200
N/A
N/A

Moneyline Movements: 6

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: N/A

Sportsbook Edge
+3.71%

Dominick Cruz Win Probability: 37.04%

Rob Font Win Probability: 66.67%

37.04%
66.67%
9:15 PM (2/22/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Rizvan Kuniev
+215
N/A
N/A
Curtis Blaydes
-261
N/A
N/A

Moneyline Movements: 20

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: N/A

Sportsbook Edge
+4.05%

Rizvan Kuniev Win Probability: 31.75%

Curtis Blaydes Win Probability: 72.30%

31.75%
72.30%
9:15 PM (2/22/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Anthony Hernandez
-268
N/A
N/A
Brendan Allen
+220
N/A
N/A

Moneyline Movements: 24

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: N/A

Sportsbook Edge
+4.08%

Anthony Hernandez Win Probability: 72.83%

Brendan Allen Win Probability: 31.25%

72.83%
31.25%
9:15 PM (2/22/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Song Yadong
-255
N/A
N/A
Henry Cejudo
+211
N/A
N/A

Moneyline Movements: 37

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: N/A

Sportsbook Edge
+3.98%

Song Yadong Win Probability: 71.83%

Henry Cejudo Win Probability: 32.15%

71.83%
32.15%
9:15 PM (2/22/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Steve Garcia
-151
N/A
N/A
Edson Barboza
+129
N/A
N/A

Moneyline Movements: 35

Spread Movements: N/A

Total Rounds Movements: N/A

Sportsbook Edge
+3.83%

Steve Garcia Win Probability: 60.16%

Edson Barboza Win Probability: 43.67%

60.16%
43.67%

Learn More About UFC (MMA)

The UFC (Ultimate Fighting Championship) is the premier mixed martial arts (MMA) organization in the world. It features top fighters competing in various weight divisions across multiple countries. The UFC was founded in 1993 with the goal of determining the most effective martial art for real combat situations, showcasing a mix of boxing, wrestling, Brazilian jiu-jitsu, Muay Thai, and other fighting styles. Over the years, it evolved into the most well-known and successful MMA organization, boasting some of the sport's biggest stars like Conor McGregor, Khabib Nurmagomedov, and Amanda Nunes.

Structure of the UFC

  • Weight Divisions: UFC has several weight classes for both men and women. For example, men's classes range from flyweight (up to 125 pounds) to heavyweight (over 205 pounds), while women's classes range from strawweight (115 pounds) to featherweight (145 pounds).

  • Events: UFC holds events regularly, with the most notable being UFC Pay-Per-View events. These feature top-tier fights and often showcase championship bouts. There are also UFC Fight Night events, which are free to watch but still feature competitive bouts. Each event includes a series of fights culminating in a main event (often a title fight).

  • Fight Rules: UFC fights are contested in an octagonal cage, known as the "Octagon." Fights can end in different ways: by knockout (KO), submission, or decision (based on judges' scorecards). Fighters are also penalized for fouls, and there's a system of rules to ensure fighter safety and fair competition.

  • Fighter Rankings: Fighters are ranked based on their performances and victories. These rankings determine contenders for title fights. Rankings are updated regularly based on recent results and outcomes.

Types of Fights

  • Championship Fights: When a fighter challenges the current champion of a weight class. These are often the main events of major UFC cards.

  • Non-Championship Fights: Regular fights that don't involve a title. These still feature top contenders and can lead to title shots.

  • Interim Titles: These are awarded when a champion is unavailable (due to injury, personal reasons, etc.) but the division still needs a titleholder.

UFC Betting Explained

Betting on the UFC involves predicting the outcome of MMA matches. There are various betting options, ranging from simple bets on the winner to more complex wagers. Here's an overview of how to bet on UFC:

  1. Moneyline Betting:

    • Moneyline is the most common form of UFC betting. You simply bet on who will win the fight: Fighter A or Fighter B.
    • The odds are set based on each fighter’s perceived likelihood of winning, with favorites having lower payouts (e.g., -150), and underdogs offering higher payouts (e.g., +200). A negative number means you need to bet that amount to win $100, while a positive number means you can win that amount by betting $100.
  2. Method of Victory:

    • This bet is on how the fight will end: either by KO/TKO, submission, or decision. You can bet on a specific method or whether the fight will end by any method.
    • Example: Betting on a fighter to win by submission means that if they win by submission (regardless of how long it takes), your bet will win.
  3. Round Betting:

    • This type of bet is more specific. It involves betting on which round the fight will end or if it will go the distance (into the later rounds).
    • For example, you can bet that a fight will end in Round 2 by knockout, or that a fight will go the full distance, meaning all scheduled rounds are fought.
  4. Total Rounds Over/Under:

    • Oddsmakers set a predicted number of rounds (e.g., 2.5). You can bet whether the fight will go over or under that number. For example, betting on "under 2.5 rounds" means you're predicting the fight will end before the halfway point of Round 3.
  5. Parlay Betting:

    • A parlay bet allows you to combine multiple bets into one wager, increasing the potential payout. For example, you might bet on multiple fights within an event. However, for a parlay to win, all your selections must win.
  6. Live Betting:

    • Live or in-play betting allows you to place bets during the fight. You can bet on various outcomes such as the next fighter to land a strike, which fighter will win the round, or even how the fight will end based on what’s happening in real time.
  7. Futures Betting:

    • In futures betting, you bet on long-term events like who will be the champion in a certain weight class at the end of the year or which fighter will win a specific upcoming event.

Understanding Odds

Odds represent the likelihood of a fighter winning or losing. Common odds formats include:

  • American Odds: Displayed as positive (+) or negative (-) numbers. Negative numbers show the amount you need to bet to win $100, and positive numbers show how much you can win on a $100 bet.
  • Decimal Odds: These show the total payout (stake + profit) for each $1 wagered.
  • Fractional Odds: Represent the profit relative to the stake. For example, 5/1 means you win $5 for every $1 wagered.

Strategy for Betting on UFC

  1. Research Fighters: Study their fighting styles, previous performances, and their strengths/weaknesses. A wrestler might dominate a striker, for example, while a submission artist could have an advantage over a striker who lacks grappling skills.

  2. Fight Metrics: Pay attention to stats like significant strikes landed per minute, takedowns, submission attempts, and defense, as they provide a clear picture of how fighters perform in the cage.

  3. Injury and Weight Cut: Fighters sometimes struggle with weight cutting, which can impact their performance. Knowing the fighter's health and how they managed the weight cut can provide insight into how they might perform.

  4. Fight Dynamics: The location of the fight, a fighter's mental state, and their preparation for a specific opponent can all affect outcomes.

  5. Bet Responsibly: As with all sports betting, it's essential to bet responsibly, understanding the risks involved. Betting should be viewed as entertainment, not a guaranteed source of profit.

By understanding the UFC's structure, fighters, and betting options, you can make informed decisions and enjoy the sport more deeply, whether you're an avid fan or just dipping into MMA betting for fun!

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