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Leagues Tennis - ATP Rome - R1

 ATP Rome - R1
5:00 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jenson Brooksby
0
+282
+1.5
(+104)
O 2.5
(+179)
Sebastian Baez
2
-331
-1.5
(-120)
U 2.5
(-209)

Moneyline Movements: 22

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.98%

Jenson Brooksby Win Probability: 26.18%

Sebastian Baez Win Probability: 76.80%

26.18%
76.80%
5:00 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Zhizhen Zhang
1
+141
+1.5
(-186)
O 2.5
(+135)
Daniel Altmaier
2
-160
-1.5
(+160)
U 2.5
(-156)

Moneyline Movements: 23

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.03%

Zhizhen Zhang Win Probability: 41.49%

Daniel Altmaier Win Probability: 61.54%

41.49%
61.54%
5:00 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Damir Dzumhur
2
-292
-1.5
(-110)
O 2.5
(+169)
Adrian Mannarino
0
+250
+1.5
(-106)
U 2.5
(-197)

Moneyline Movements: 24

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.06%

Damir Dzumhur Win Probability: 74.49%

Adrian Mannarino Win Probability: 28.57%

74.49%
28.57%
5:00 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Fabian Marozsan
0
-150
-1.5
(+170)
O 2.5
(+134)
Vit Kopriva
2
+133
+1.5
(-198)
U 2.5
(-155)

Moneyline Movements: 20

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.92%

Fabian Marozsan Win Probability: 60.00%

Vit Kopriva Win Probability: 42.92%

60.00%
42.92%
7:00 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Hubert Hurkacz
1
-186
-1.5
(+144)
O 2.5
(+137)
Yannick Hanfmann
2
+163
+1.5
(-167)
U 2.5
(-159)

Moneyline Movements: 25

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.05%

Hubert Hurkacz Win Probability: 65.03%

Yannick Hanfmann Win Probability: 38.02%

65.03%
38.02%
7:00 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Marco Trungelliti
1
-251
-1.5
(+104)
O 2.5
(+167)
Zachary Svajda
2
+218
+1.5
(-120)
U 2.5
(-195)

Moneyline Movements: 40

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.96%

Marco Trungelliti Win Probability: 71.51%

Zachary Svajda Win Probability: 31.45%

71.51%
31.45%
7:00 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1
-219
-1.5
(+136)
O 2.5
(+134)
Alexander Shevchenko
2
+191
+1.5
(-157)
U 2.5
(-155)

Moneyline Movements: 32

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.01%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli Win Probability: 68.65%

Alexander Shevchenko Win Probability: 34.36%

68.65%
34.36%
8:00 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Alexandre Muller
0
+127
+1.5
(-186)
O 2.5
(+148)
Botic Van de Zandschulp
2
-145
-1.5
(+160)
U 2.5
(-172)

Moneyline Movements: 15

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.23%

Alexandre Muller Win Probability: 44.05%

Botic Van de Zandschulp Win Probability: 59.18%

44.05%
59.18%
9:56:02 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Matteo Arnaldi
2
-143
-1.5
(+171)
O 2.5
(+146)
Jaume Munar
1
+125
+1.5
(-200)
U 2.5
(-170)

Moneyline Movements: 30

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.29%

Matteo Arnaldi Win Probability: 58.85%

Jaume Munar Win Probability: 44.44%

58.85%
44.44%
10:00 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jan-Lennard Struff
2
+175
+1.5
(-160)
O 2.5
(+135)
Francisco Comesana
0
-200
-1.5
(+138)
U 2.5
(-156)

Moneyline Movements: 28

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.03%

Jan-Lennard Struff Win Probability: 36.36%

Francisco Comesana Win Probability: 66.67%

36.36%
66.67%
10:55:46 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Aleksandar Vukic
2
+300
+1.5
(+100)
O 2.5
(+166)
Patrick Kypson
1
-354
-1.5
(-117)
U 2.5
(-193)

Moneyline Movements: 20

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.97%

Aleksandar Vukic Win Probability: 25.00%

Patrick Kypson Win Probability: 77.97%

25.00%
77.97%
11:00 AM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jesper De Jong
0
+102
+1.5
(-264)
O 2.5
(+119)
Nuno Borges
2
-116
-1.5
(+223)
U 2.5
(-137)

Moneyline Movements: 26

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.20%

Jesper De Jong Win Probability: 49.50%

Nuno Borges Win Probability: 53.70%

49.50%
53.70%
1:00 PM (5/6/2026)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Pablo Carreno Busta
0
+199
+1.5
(-146)
O 2.5
(+141)
Alejandro Tabilo
2
-228
-1.5
(+125)
U 2.5
(-163)

Moneyline Movements: 28

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.95%

Pablo Carreno Busta Win Probability: 33.44%

Alejandro Tabilo Win Probability: 69.51%

33.44%
69.51%
3:00 PM (5/6/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Marton Fucsovics
+283
+1.5
(-102)
O 2.5
(+172)
Dino Prizmic
-333
-1.5
(-114)
U 2.5
(-200)

Moneyline Movements: 31

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.02%

Marton Fucsovics Win Probability: 26.11%

Dino Prizmic Win Probability: 76.91%

26.11%
76.91%
3:00 PM (5/6/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jacob Fearnley
-168
-1.5
(+146)
O 2.5
(+148)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
+148
+1.5
(-169)
U 2.5
(-171)

Moneyline Movements: 24

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.01%

Jacob Fearnley Win Probability: 62.69%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Win Probability: 40.32%

62.69%
40.32%
5:00 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Alexei Popyrin
+179
+1.5
(-143)
O 2.5
(+158)
Matteo Berrettini
-204
-1.5
(+124)
U 2.5
(-183)

Moneyline Movements: 20

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.95%

Alexei Popyrin Win Probability: 35.84%

Matteo Berrettini Win Probability: 67.11%

35.84%
67.11%
5:00 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Zizou Bergs
-129
-1.5
(+179)
O 2.5
(+141)
Terence Atmane
+114
+1.5
(-210)
U 2.5
(-164)

Moneyline Movements: 15

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.06%

Zizou Bergs Win Probability: 56.33%

Terence Atmane Win Probability: 46.73%

56.33%
46.73%
5:00 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Nikoloz Basilashvili
+135
+1.5
(-190)
O 2.5
(+133)
Daniel Merida Aguilar
-156
-1.5
(+161)
U 2.5
(-157)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.49%

Nikoloz Basilashvili Win Probability: 42.55%

Daniel Merida Aguilar Win Probability: 60.94%

42.55%
60.94%
5:00 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Dalibor Svrcina
+104
+1.5
(-245)
O 2.5
(+125)
Miomir Kecmanovic
-121
-1.5
(+204)
U 2.5
(-147)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.77%

Dalibor Svrcina Win Probability: 49.02%

Miomir Kecmanovic Win Probability: 54.75%

49.02%
54.75%
6:30 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Federico Cina
+350
+1.5
(+119)
O 2.5
(+191)
Alexander Blockx
-419
-1.5
(-137)
U 2.5
(-224)

Moneyline Movements: 46

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.95%

Federico Cina Win Probability: 22.22%

Alexander Blockx Win Probability: 80.73%

22.22%
80.73%
6:30 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Marcos Giron
+131
+1.5
(-180)
O 2.5
(+150)
Marin Cilic
-150
-1.5
(+154)
U 2.5
(-175)

Moneyline Movements: 10

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.29%

Marcos Giron Win Probability: 43.29%

Marin Cilic Win Probability: 60.00%

43.29%
60.00%
8:00 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Roberto Bautista Agut
-192
-1.5
(+129)
O 2.5
(+148)
Francesco Maestrelli
+169
+1.5
(-150)
U 2.5
(-172)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.92%

Roberto Bautista Agut Win Probability: 65.75%

Francesco Maestrelli Win Probability: 37.17%

65.75%
37.17%
9:00 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Roman Andres Burruchaga
-226
-1.5
(+125)
O 2.5
(+146)
Mattia Bellucci
+197
+1.5
(-145)
U 2.5
(-169)

Moneyline Movements: 16

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.00%

Roman Andres Burruchaga Win Probability: 69.33%

Mattia Bellucci Win Probability: 33.67%

69.33%
33.67%
9:30 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Thiago Agustin Tirante
-187
-1.5
(+134)
O 2.5
(+147)
Gianluca Cadenasso
+164
+1.5
(-155)
U 2.5
(-170)

Moneyline Movements: 15

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.04%

Thiago Agustin Tirante Win Probability: 65.16%

Gianluca Cadenasso Win Probability: 37.88%

65.16%
37.88%
9:30 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Cristian Garin
-134
-1.5
(+183)
O 2.5
(+133)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
+116
+1.5
(-219)
U 2.5
(-157)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.56%

Cristian Garin Win Probability: 57.26%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Win Probability: 46.30%

57.26%
46.30%
10:00 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Ethan Quinn
+123
+1.5
(-206)
O 2.5
(+131)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
-142
-1.5
(+173)
U 2.5
(-154)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.52%

Ethan Quinn Win Probability: 44.84%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz Win Probability: 58.68%

44.84%
58.68%
10:30 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Sebastian Ofner
-173
-1.5
(+140)
O 2.5
(+146)
Alex Michelsen
+152
+1.5
(-162)
U 2.5
(-169)

Moneyline Movements: 13

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.05%

Sebastian Ofner Win Probability: 63.37%

Alex Michelsen Win Probability: 39.68%

63.37%
39.68%
11:00 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Denis Shapovalov
+166
+1.5
(-156)
O 2.5
(+139)
Mariano Navone
-189
-1.5
(+135)
U 2.5
(-160)

Moneyline Movements: 20

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.99%

Denis Shapovalov Win Probability: 37.59%

Mariano Navone Win Probability: 65.40%

37.59%
65.40%
11:00 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Hamad Medjedovic
-278
-1.5
(-102)
O 2.5
(+159)
Valentin Royer
+240
+1.5
(-114)
U 2.5
(-185)

Moneyline Movements: 8

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.95%

Hamad Medjedovic Win Probability: 73.54%

Valentin Royer Win Probability: 29.41%

73.54%
29.41%
11:00 AM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Stefanos Tsitsipas
-141
-1.5
(+172)
O 2.5
(+131)
Tomas Machac
+125
+1.5
(-200)
U 2.5
(-153)

Moneyline Movements: 20

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.95%

Stefanos Tsitsipas Win Probability: 58.51%

Tomas Machac Win Probability: 44.44%

58.51%
44.44%
12:30 PM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Andrea Pellegrino
-147
-1.5
(+181)
O 2.5
(+127)
Luca Nardi
+127
+1.5
(-217)
U 2.5
(-150)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.56%

Andrea Pellegrino Win Probability: 59.51%

Luca Nardi Win Probability: 44.05%

59.51%
44.05%
1:00 PM (5/7/2026) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Lorenzo Sonego
+146
+1.5
(-187)
O 2.5
(+135)
Ignacio Buse
-166
-1.5
(+160)
U 2.5
(-156)

Moneyline Movements: 6

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.06%

Lorenzo Sonego Win Probability: 40.65%

Ignacio Buse Win Probability: 62.41%

40.65%
62.41%

Tennis Betting Videos

Learn More About ATP Rome - R1 (Tennis)

The ATP Rome, officially known as the Internazionali BNL d’Italia, is a major professional tennis tournament held annually in Rome, Italy. It is part of the ATP Tour Masters 1000 series, making it one of the most prestigious tournaments in men’s tennis outside of the Grand Slams. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the event and how to bet on it effectively.

ATP Rome Overview

1. Tournament Tier and Importance

  • It is one of the nine ATP Masters 1000 events, meaning it offers 1,000 ranking points to the winner.

  • It attracts nearly all the top-ranked players and serves as a critical tune-up for the French Open, due to its clay surface.

2. Surface and Conditions

  • Played on outdoor red clay courts at the Foro Italico.

  • Clay courts slow down the ball and produce a high bounce, favoring baseline players with stamina and strong defensive skills.

  • Conditions in Rome are slower than hard courts but slightly faster than the French Open, due to altitude and weather.

3. Tournament Format

  • Typically held in May over 8–9 days.

  • The main draw includes 56 singles players (top seeds get a first-round bye) and 28 doubles teams.

  • Matches are best of three sets.

  • A single-elimination format is used, with players progressing through rounds: first round, second round, third round, quarterfinals, semifinals, and final.

4. Notable Players and Trends

  • Historically dominated by top clay court players like Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic.

  • Upsets can happen, especially in early rounds due to challenging matchups and the physical demands of clay.

How to Bet on the ATP Rome

1. Match Betting Markets

  • Moneyline: Betting on which player will win the match.

  • Set Betting: Predicting the exact scoreline (e.g., Player A to win 2-1).

  • Total Games/Over-Under: Wagering on how many total games will be played in the match.

  • Handicap Games: Betting on a player to cover a spread (e.g., Player A -3.5 games).

2. Futures Bets

  • Betting on the tournament winner before or during the event.

  • Some books offer odds on reaching semifinals or finals.

3. Prop Bets

  • First set winner, number of aces, double faults, or whether there will be a tiebreak.

  • Niche props may include break points converted or percentage of first serves.

4. Live Betting

  • In-play betting allows you to wager point-by-point or game-by-game.

  • Useful for clay, as momentum shifts are common and long rallies are typical.

Strategy Tips for Betting on ATP Rome

1. Consider Surface Specialization

  • Clay court specialists typically perform better.

  • Analyze a player’s clay record and style—defensive baseliners thrive more than big servers.

2. Study Head-to-Head and Matchups

  • Some players struggle against consistent retrievers or lefties on clay.

  • Look for mental edges and past performances on similar surfaces.

3. Physical Fitness and Form

  • Clay court matches are physically demanding; look at recent match volume and fatigue factors.

  • Beware of players returning from injury or with heavy workloads leading into Rome.

4. Weather and Scheduling

  • Rain delays and late finishes can disrupt momentum.

  • Check forecasts and consider how scheduling might affect player recovery.

5. Early Rounds vs. Late Rounds

  • Early rounds often have value opportunities with lower-ranked clay specialists.

  • Top players tend to peak deeper into the draw, making them more reliable in semifinals and finals.

6. Market Movements

  • Monitor odds movement for smart money indicators.

  • Public often backs big names even when form or surface doesn’t suit.

Final Thoughts

The ATP Rome tournament is a staple of the clay court season and an excellent event for tactical betting. Success depends on understanding the nuances of clay, tracking player form, and identifying mismatches in the market. Because it features most of the world's top players and demanding conditions, it's an opportunity-rich environment for bettors who value deep research and live adjustment.

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