Pick Center

Leagues Tennis - ATP Rome - R1

 ATP Rome - R1
5:00 AM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jordan Thompson
2
-146
-1.5
(+154)
O 2.5
(+145)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1
+129
+1.5
(-178)
U 2.5
(-168)

Moneyline Movements: 49

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.02%

Jordan Thompson Win Probability: 59.35%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Win Probability: 43.67%

59.35%
43.67%
5:00 AM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jiri Lehecka
1
-182
-1.5
(+137)
O 2.5
(+147)
Alexandre Muller
2
+160
+1.5
(-159)
U 2.5
(-171)

Moneyline Movements: 22

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.00%

Jiri Lehecka Win Probability: 64.54%

Alexandre Muller Win Probability: 38.46%

64.54%
38.46%
5:00 AM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Rinky Hijikata
1
+291
+1.5
(-106)
O 2.5
(+156)
Corentin Moutet
2
-343
-1.5
(-110)
U 2.5
(-182)

Moneyline Movements: 27

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.01%

Rinky Hijikata Win Probability: 25.58%

Corentin Moutet Win Probability: 77.43%

25.58%
77.43%
5:00 AM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Daniel Altmaier
0
+108
+1.5
(-232)
O 2.5
(+135)
Francisco Comesana
2
-122
-1.5
(+198)
U 2.5
(-156)

Moneyline Movements: 29

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.03%

Daniel Altmaier Win Probability: 48.08%

Francisco Comesana Win Probability: 54.95%

48.08%
54.95%
5:00 AM (5/7/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Benjamin Bonzi
+116
+1.5
(-205)
O 2.5
(+150)
Quentin Halys
-134
-1.5
(+172)
U 2.5
(-177)

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.56%

Benjamin Bonzi Win Probability: 46.30%

Quentin Halys Win Probability: 57.26%

46.30%
57.26%
7:00 AM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Carlos Taberner
2
-167
-1.5
(+140)
O 2.5
(+146)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
1
+144
+1.5
(-165)
U 2.5
(-173)

Moneyline Movements: 8

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.53%

Carlos Taberner Win Probability: 62.55%

Aleksandar Kovacevic Win Probability: 40.98%

62.55%
40.98%
7:00 AM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2
-112
-1.5
(+222)
O 2.5
(+127)
Pablo Carreno Busta
1
-104
+1.5
(-269)
U 2.5
(-150)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: 1

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.81%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli Win Probability: 52.83%

Pablo Carreno Busta Win Probability: 50.98%

52.83%
50.98%
8:00 AM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Tallon Griekspoor
2
-163
-1.5
(+150)
O 2.5
(+143)
Miomir Kecmanovic
1
+143
+1.5
(-174)
U 2.5
(-166)

Moneyline Movements: 28

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.13%

Tallon Griekspoor Win Probability: 61.98%

Miomir Kecmanovic Win Probability: 41.15%

61.98%
41.15%
9:00 AM (5/7/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Yoshihito Nishioka
+186
+1.5
(-133)
O 2.5
(+156)
Jan-Lennard Struff
-227
-1.5
(+110)
U 2.5
(-190)

Moneyline Movements: 8

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+4.39%

Yoshihito Nishioka Win Probability: 34.97%

Jan-Lennard Struff Win Probability: 69.42%

34.97%
69.42%
10:00 AM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Vit Kopriva
2
-186
-1.5
(+144)
O 2.5
(+133)
Quentin Halys
0
+163
+1.5
(-167)
U 2.5
(-154)

Moneyline Movements: 18

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.05%

Vit Kopriva Win Probability: 65.03%

Quentin Halys Win Probability: 38.02%

65.03%
38.02%
10:00 AM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Lorenzo Sonego
0
-164
-1.5
(+160)
O 2.5
(+127)
Roman Andres Burruchaga
2
+145
+1.5
(-186)
U 2.5
(-146)

Moneyline Movements: 11

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.94%

Lorenzo Sonego Win Probability: 62.12%

Roman Andres Burruchaga Win Probability: 40.82%

62.12%
40.82%
10:00 AM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Yoshihito Nishioka
0
+344
+1.5
(+125)
O 2.5
(+199)
Dusan Lajovic
2
-412
-1.5
(-146)
U 2.5
(-233)

Moneyline Movements: 14

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.99%

Yoshihito Nishioka Win Probability: 22.52%

Dusan Lajovic Win Probability: 80.47%

22.52%
80.47%
1:00 PM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Christopher OConnell
0
+134
+1.5
(-206)
O 2.5
(+123)
Cameron Norrie
2
-152
-1.5
(+177)
U 2.5
(-142)

Moneyline Movements: 14

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.06%

Christopher OConnell Win Probability: 42.74%

Cameron Norrie Win Probability: 60.32%

42.74%
60.32%
2:00 PM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Laslo Djere
2
-110
-1.5
(+211)
O 2.5
(+135)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0
-104
+1.5
(-249)
U 2.5
(-156)

Moneyline Movements: 27

Spread Movements: 2

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.36%

Laslo Djere Win Probability: 52.38%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry Win Probability: 50.98%

52.38%
50.98%
2:00 PM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Hamad Medjedovic
0
-367
-1.5
(-116)
O 2.5
(+158)
Otto Virtanen
2
+309
+1.5
(+100)
U 2.5
(-183)

Moneyline Movements: 16

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.04%

Hamad Medjedovic Win Probability: 78.59%

Otto Virtanen Win Probability: 24.45%

78.59%
24.45%
2:00 PM (5/7/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Francesco Passaro
2
+158
+1.5
(-165)
O 2.5
(+140)
Chun Hsin Tseng
1
-180
-1.5
(+143)
U 2.5
(-162)

Moneyline Movements: 16

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.05%

Francesco Passaro Win Probability: 38.76%

Chun Hsin Tseng Win Probability: 64.29%

38.76%
64.29%
3:00 PM (5/7/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Vilius Gaubas
-109
-1.5
(+223)
O 2.5
(+125)
Damir Dzumhur
-105
+1.5
(-264)
U 2.5
(-146)

Moneyline Movements: 14

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.37%

Vilius Gaubas Win Probability: 52.15%

Damir Dzumhur Win Probability: 51.22%

52.15%
51.22%
4:00 PM (5/7/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Yunchaokete Bu
+245
+1.5
(-108)
O 2.5
(+177)
Luciano Darderi
-284
-1.5
(-108)
U 2.5
(-208)

Moneyline Movements: 20

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.95%

Yunchaokete Bu Win Probability: 28.99%

Luciano Darderi Win Probability: 73.96%

28.99%
73.96%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Gabriel Diallo
-129
-1.5
(+199)
O 2.5
(+125)
Marcos Giron
+114
+1.5
(-234)
U 2.5
(-145)

Moneyline Movements: 19

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.06%

Gabriel Diallo Win Probability: 56.33%

Marcos Giron Win Probability: 46.73%

56.33%
46.73%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Matteo Arnaldi
-319
-1.5
(-105)
O 2.5
(+154)
Roberto Bautista Agut
+273
+1.5
(-111)
U 2.5
(-179)

Moneyline Movements: 8

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.94%

Matteo Arnaldi Win Probability: 76.13%

Roberto Bautista Agut Win Probability: 26.81%

76.13%
26.81%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Arthur Rinderknech
+129
+1.5
(-211)
O 2.5
(+121)
Matteo Gigante
-148
-1.5
(+179)
U 2.5
(-140)

Moneyline Movements: 27

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.35%

Arthur Rinderknech Win Probability: 43.67%

Matteo Gigante Win Probability: 59.68%

43.67%
59.68%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Luca Nardi
+214
+1.5
(-147)
O 2.5
(+129)
Flavio Cobolli
-247
-1.5
(+127)
U 2.5
(-150)

Moneyline Movements: 25

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.03%

Luca Nardi Win Probability: 31.85%

Flavio Cobolli Win Probability: 71.18%

31.85%
71.18%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Hugo Gaston
+150
+1.5
(-170)
O 2.5
(+141)
Nicolas Jarry
-171
-1.5
(+147)
U 2.5
(-163)

Moneyline Movements: 21

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.10%

Hugo Gaston Win Probability: 40.00%

Nicolas Jarry Win Probability: 63.10%

40.00%
63.10%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Alexander Bublik
-119
-1.5
(+225)
O 2.5
(+114)
Roman Safiullin
+104
+1.5
(-266)
U 2.5
(-133)

Moneyline Movements: 11

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.36%

Alexander Bublik Win Probability: 54.34%

Roman Safiullin Win Probability: 49.02%

54.34%
49.02%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jacob Fearnley
-209
-1.5
(+125)
O 2.5
(+150)
Fabio Fognini
+183
+1.5
(-145)
U 2.5
(-175)

Moneyline Movements: 25

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.98%

Jacob Fearnley Win Probability: 67.64%

Fabio Fognini Win Probability: 35.34%

67.64%
35.34%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Fabian Marozsan
+214
+1.5
(-125)
O 2.5
(+158)
Joao Fonseca
-247
-1.5
(+108)
U 2.5
(-183)

Moneyline Movements: 8

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.03%

Fabian Marozsan Win Probability: 31.85%

Joao Fonseca Win Probability: 71.18%

31.85%
71.18%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Mariano Navone
-513
-1.5
(-169)
O 2.5
(+222)
Federico Cina
+420
+1.5
(+146)
U 2.5
(-263)

Moneyline Movements: 14

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.92%

Mariano Navone Win Probability: 83.69%

Federico Cina Win Probability: 19.23%

83.69%
19.23%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Mattia Bellucci
+122
+1.5
(-217)
O 2.5
(+125)
Pedro Martinez Portero
-138
-1.5
(+186)
U 2.5
(-146)

Moneyline Movements: 6

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.03%

Mattia Bellucci Win Probability: 45.05%

Pedro Martinez Portero Win Probability: 57.98%

45.05%
57.98%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Learner Tien
+100
+1.5
(-246)
O 2.5
(+131)
Reilly Opelka
-114
-1.5
(+209)
U 2.5
(-151)

Moneyline Movements: 8

Spread Movements: 1

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.27%

Learner Tien Win Probability: 50.00%

Reilly Opelka Win Probability: 53.27%

50.00%
53.27%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Aleksandar Vukic
+106
+1.5
(-235)
O 2.5
(+140)
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
-123
-1.5
(+196)
U 2.5
(-166)

Moneyline Movements: 8

Spread Movements: 1

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.70%

Aleksandar Vukic Win Probability: 48.54%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Win Probability: 55.16%

48.54%
55.16%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jesper De Jong
-146
-1.5
(+175)
O 2.5
(+122)
Alexander Shevchenko
+125
+1.5
(-210)
U 2.5
(-143)

Moneyline Movements: 15

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.79%

Jesper De Jong Win Probability: 59.35%

Alexander Shevchenko Win Probability: 44.44%

59.35%
44.44%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Roberto Carballes Baena
+129
+1.5
(-199)
O 2.5
(+134)
Sebastian Ofner
-152
-1.5
(+167)
U 2.5
(-158)

Moneyline Movements: 14

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.99%

Roberto Carballes Baena Win Probability: 43.67%

Sebastian Ofner Win Probability: 60.32%

43.67%
60.32%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Tomas Barrios Vera
+131
+1.5
(-197)
O 2.5
(+129)
Jaume Munar
-152
-1.5
(+166)
U 2.5
(-153)

Moneyline Movements: 17

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.61%

Tomas Barrios Vera Win Probability: 43.29%

Jaume Munar Win Probability: 60.32%

43.29%
60.32%
5:00 AM (5/8/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Nuno Borges
-150
-1.5
(+177)
O 2.5
(+125)
Thiago Seyboth Wild
+129
+1.5
(-212)
U 2.5
(-148)

Moneyline Movements: 10

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.67%

Nuno Borges Win Probability: 60.00%

Thiago Seyboth Wild Win Probability: 43.67%

60.00%
43.67%

Tennis Betting Videos

Learn More About ATP Rome - R1 (Tennis)

The ATP Rome, officially known as the Internazionali BNL d’Italia, is a major professional tennis tournament held annually in Rome, Italy. It is part of the ATP Tour Masters 1000 series, making it one of the most prestigious tournaments in men’s tennis outside of the Grand Slams. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the event and how to bet on it effectively.

ATP Rome Overview

1. Tournament Tier and Importance

  • It is one of the nine ATP Masters 1000 events, meaning it offers 1,000 ranking points to the winner.

  • It attracts nearly all the top-ranked players and serves as a critical tune-up for the French Open, due to its clay surface.

2. Surface and Conditions

  • Played on outdoor red clay courts at the Foro Italico.

  • Clay courts slow down the ball and produce a high bounce, favoring baseline players with stamina and strong defensive skills.

  • Conditions in Rome are slower than hard courts but slightly faster than the French Open, due to altitude and weather.

3. Tournament Format

  • Typically held in May over 8–9 days.

  • The main draw includes 56 singles players (top seeds get a first-round bye) and 28 doubles teams.

  • Matches are best of three sets.

  • A single-elimination format is used, with players progressing through rounds: first round, second round, third round, quarterfinals, semifinals, and final.

4. Notable Players and Trends

  • Historically dominated by top clay court players like Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic.

  • Upsets can happen, especially in early rounds due to challenging matchups and the physical demands of clay.

How to Bet on the ATP Rome

1. Match Betting Markets

  • Moneyline: Betting on which player will win the match.

  • Set Betting: Predicting the exact scoreline (e.g., Player A to win 2-1).

  • Total Games/Over-Under: Wagering on how many total games will be played in the match.

  • Handicap Games: Betting on a player to cover a spread (e.g., Player A -3.5 games).

2. Futures Bets

  • Betting on the tournament winner before or during the event.

  • Some books offer odds on reaching semifinals or finals.

3. Prop Bets

  • First set winner, number of aces, double faults, or whether there will be a tiebreak.

  • Niche props may include break points converted or percentage of first serves.

4. Live Betting

  • In-play betting allows you to wager point-by-point or game-by-game.

  • Useful for clay, as momentum shifts are common and long rallies are typical.

Strategy Tips for Betting on ATP Rome

1. Consider Surface Specialization

  • Clay court specialists typically perform better.

  • Analyze a player’s clay record and style—defensive baseliners thrive more than big servers.

2. Study Head-to-Head and Matchups

  • Some players struggle against consistent retrievers or lefties on clay.

  • Look for mental edges and past performances on similar surfaces.

3. Physical Fitness and Form

  • Clay court matches are physically demanding; look at recent match volume and fatigue factors.

  • Beware of players returning from injury or with heavy workloads leading into Rome.

4. Weather and Scheduling

  • Rain delays and late finishes can disrupt momentum.

  • Check forecasts and consider how scheduling might affect player recovery.

5. Early Rounds vs. Late Rounds

  • Early rounds often have value opportunities with lower-ranked clay specialists.

  • Top players tend to peak deeper into the draw, making them more reliable in semifinals and finals.

6. Market Movements

  • Monitor odds movement for smart money indicators.

  • Public often backs big names even when form or surface doesn’t suit.

Final Thoughts

The ATP Rome tournament is a staple of the clay court season and an excellent event for tactical betting. Success depends on understanding the nuances of clay, tracking player form, and identifying mismatches in the market. Because it features most of the world's top players and demanding conditions, it's an opportunity-rich environment for bettors who value deep research and live adjustment.

IPA 3.149.249.113

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