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Leagues Tennis - ATP French Open - R3

 ATP French Open - R3
5:00 AM (5/30/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Lorenzo Musetti
-782
-2.5
(+108)
O 3.5
(-109)
Mariano Navone
+635
+2.5
(-123)
U 3.5
(-105)

Moneyline Movements: 33

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.27%

Lorenzo Musetti Win Probability: 88.66%

Mariano Navone Win Probability: 13.61%

88.66%
13.61%
6:30 AM (5/30/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Nuno Borges
+125
+2.5
(-449)
O 4
(+102)
Alexei Popyrin
-141
-2.5
(+372)
U 4
(-116)

Moneyline Movements: 12

Spread Movements: 1

Total Sets Movements: 3
Sportsbook Edge
+2.95%

Nuno Borges Win Probability: 44.44%

Alexei Popyrin Win Probability: 58.51%

44.44%
58.51%
6:30 AM (5/30/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Karen Khachanov
-125
-2.5
(+399)
O 4
(+108)
Tommy Paul
+112
+2.5
(-484)
U 4
(-124)

Moneyline Movements: 26

Spread Movements: 1

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.73%

Karen Khachanov Win Probability: 55.56%

Tommy Paul Win Probability: 47.17%

55.56%
47.17%
7:30 AM (5/30/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Quentin Halys
+513
+2.5
(-147)
O 3.5
(-125)
Holger Rune
-618
-2.5
(+129)
U 3.5
(+112)

Moneyline Movements: 15

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.38%

Quentin Halys Win Probability: 16.31%

Holger Rune Win Probability: 86.07%

16.31%
86.07%
8:30 AM (5/30/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Hamad Medjedovic
-174
-2.5
(+283)
O 4
(+114)
Daniel Altmaier
+156
+2.5
(-332)
U 4
(-130)

Moneyline Movements: 17

Spread Movements: 1

Total Sets Movements: 1
Sportsbook Edge
+2.56%

Hamad Medjedovic Win Probability: 63.50%

Daniel Altmaier Win Probability: 39.06%

63.50%
39.06%
8:30 AM (5/30/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Ben Shelton
-163
-2.5
(+297)
O 4
(+117)
Matteo Gigante
+147
+2.5
(-350)
U 4
(-132)

Moneyline Movements: 28

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.47%

Ben Shelton Win Probability: 61.98%

Matteo Gigante Win Probability: 40.49%

61.98%
40.49%
10:00 AM (5/30/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Frances Tiafoe
+102
+2.5
(-503)
O 4
(+100)
Sebastian Korda
-114
-2.5
(+413)
U 4
(-114)

Moneyline Movements: 9

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.77%

Frances Tiafoe Win Probability: 49.50%

Sebastian Korda Win Probability: 53.27%

49.50%
53.27%
2:15 PM (5/30/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Damir Dzumhur
N/A
+2.5
(+383)
N/A
Carlos Alcaraz
N/A
-2.5
(-479)
N/A

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: N/A
Sportsbook Edge
N/A

Damir Dzumhur Win Probability: N/A

Carlos Alcaraz Win Probability: N/A

0%
0%
5:00 AM (5/31/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jannik Sinner
-1409
-2.5
(-128)
O 3.5
(+120)
Jiri Lehecka
+999
+2.5
(+110)
U 3.5
(-139)

Moneyline Movements: 6

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.47%

Jannik Sinner Win Probability: 93.37%

Jiri Lehecka Win Probability: 9.10%

93.37%
9.10%
5:00 AM (5/31/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Alexander Bublik
-280
-2.5
(+199)
O 4
(+135)
Henrique Rocha
+241
+2.5
(-234)
U 4
(-156)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.01%

Alexander Bublik Win Probability: 73.68%

Henrique Rocha Win Probability: 29.33%

73.68%
29.33%
5:00 AM (5/31/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Andrey Rublev
-178
-2.5
(+282)
O 4
(+112)
Arthur Fils
+150
+2.5
(-350)
U 4
(-133)

Moneyline Movements: 16

Spread Movements: 1

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+4.03%

Andrey Rublev Win Probability: 64.03%

Arthur Fils Win Probability: 40.00%

64.03%
40.00%
5:00 AM (5/31/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Alexander Zverev
-455
-2.5
(+167)
O 3.5
(-159)
Flavio Cobolli
+376
+2.5
(-195)
U 3.5
(+137)

Moneyline Movements: 13

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.99%

Alexander Zverev Win Probability: 81.98%

Flavio Cobolli Win Probability: 21.01%

81.98%
21.01%
5:00 AM (5/31/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Cameron Norrie
+106
+1.5
(-188)
O 3.5
(-202)
Jacob Fearnley
-125
-1.5
(+158)
U 3.5
(+170)

Moneyline Movements: None

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+4.10%

Cameron Norrie Win Probability: 48.54%

Jacob Fearnley Win Probability: 55.56%

48.54%
55.56%
5:00 AM (5/31/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Filip Misolic
+1206
+2.5
(+149)
O 3.5
(+156)
Novak Djokovic
-2041
-2.5
(-176)
U 3.5
(-185)

Moneyline Movements: 1

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.99%

Filip Misolic Win Probability: 7.66%

Novak Djokovic Win Probability: 95.33%

7.66%
95.33%
5:00 AM (5/31/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Joao Fonseca
+159
+1.5
(-125)
O 3.5
(-187)
Jack Draper
-189
-1.5
(+106)
U 3.5
(+156)

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+4.01%

Joao Fonseca Win Probability: 38.61%

Jack Draper Win Probability: 65.40%

38.61%
65.40%
5:00 AM (5/31/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Tallon Griekspoor
-466
-2.5
(+156)
O 4
(+156)
Ethan Quinn
+384
+2.5
(-181)
U 4
(-181)

Moneyline Movements: 10

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.99%

Tallon Griekspoor Win Probability: 82.33%

Ethan Quinn Win Probability: 20.66%

82.33%
20.66%

Tennis Betting Videos

Learn More About ATP French Open - R3 (Tennis)

The ATP French Open, officially known as Roland-Garros, is one of the four Grand Slam tennis tournaments and is organized by the Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP) for the men’s circuit. It's held annually in Paris, France, over two weeks in late May and early June. The French Open is unique among the Grand Slams as it is played on clay courts, which significantly impacts the style of play and betting dynamics.

ATP French Open – Tournament Overview

1. Surface & Style of Play:

  • Clay courts slow down the ball and produce a higher bounce compared to grass or hard courts.

  • It favors baseline players with patience, stamina, and strong defensive skills.

  • Matches tend to be longer due to more extended rallies.

2. Format:

  • Men’s singles matches are played as best-of-five sets.

  • The main draw features 128 players, with seeded players determined by ATP rankings.

  • Includes qualifying rounds, main draw, and finals.

  • The tournament also features doubles and mixed doubles, but singles is the primary focus for most bettors.

3. Key Players:

  • Historically dominated by players with strong clay court prowess (e.g., Rafael Nadal).

  • Watch for “clay-court specialists,” who may perform better here than in other tournaments.

How to Bet on the ATP French Open

1. Types of Bets:

a. Match Winner:

  • Bet on who will win a specific match.

  • Keep in mind upsets are common early in Grand Slams, especially on clay.

b. Outright Winner:

  • Bet on who will win the entire tournament.

  • Odds are available before and during the tournament.

c. Set Betting:

  • Predict the correct final score by sets (e.g., 3-1, 3-2).

d. Over/Under Total Games:

  • Bet on whether the total number of games in a match will be over or under a set number.

e. Handicap Betting:

  • A spread is applied to level the playing field. For example, a -5.5 game handicap means the favorite must win by at least 6 more games than the opponent.

f. Live Betting (In-Play):

  • Odds shift dynamically as the match progresses.

  • Requires real-time insights and quick decision-making.

g. Props & Specials:

  • Examples: Player to win the first set, number of aces, double faults, or tie-break occurrence.

Betting Strategy for the French Open

1. Consider Surface-Specific Stats:

  • Some players excel on clay but struggle on hard courts and vice versa.

  • Analyze win percentages on clay for each player.

2. Endurance Matters:

  • Five-set matches on clay are physically demanding.

  • Players with better fitness and stamina usually prevail in long matches.

3. Head-to-Head on Clay:

  • Prior meetings on clay between players provide better predictive value than overall H2H.

4. Watch the Weather:

  • Damp conditions slow the clay further, affecting power hitters more.

  • Sunny, dry days speed up the surface, benefiting aggressive players.

5. Form and Fatigue:

  • Recent performance leading up to the tournament (especially on clay) is important.

  • Watch for players who went deep in previous clay events (e.g., Monte Carlo, Madrid, Rome) — they may be in form or fatigued.

6. Injuries and Recovery Time:

  • Best-of-five matches on clay are grueling.

  • Check if players have a history of injury or are returning from one.

7. Underdogs in Early Rounds:

  • Early rounds are ripe for surprises, especially when seeded players face experienced clay-court grinders.

8. Value in Live Betting:

  • Momentum swings are common on clay. A player down a set can rally back, offering good odds mid-match.

Final Tips

  • Track ATP player statistics specifically for clay courts.

  • Use data-driven tools or AI models to simulate match outcomes and identify betting value.

  • Avoid betting emotionally — always prioritize matchup analysis and surface compatibility.

  • Manage your bankroll wisely, especially in a long tournament like this.

The ATP French Open is both a tennis purist’s delight and a playground for analytical bettors. The surface, format, and tournament structure create a distinctive landscape for finding betting edges with the right insights.

IPA 216.73.216.49

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