Pick Center

Leagues Tennis - ATP French Open - Qualifiers

5:00 AM (5/23/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Alexander Shevchenko
0
+166
+1.5
(-162)
O 2.5
(+136)
Filip Misolic
2
-200
-1.5
(+135)
U 2.5
(-163)

Moneyline Movements: 32

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.26%

Alexander Shevchenko Win Probability: 37.59%

Filip Misolic Win Probability: 66.67%

37.59%
66.67%
5:00 AM (5/23/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Giulio Zeppieri
2
-263
-1.5
(+104)
O 2.5
(+148)
Federico Agustin Gomez
0
+213
+1.5
(-125)
U 2.5
(-179)

Moneyline Movements: 21

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.40%

Giulio Zeppieri Win Probability: 72.45%

Federico Agustin Gomez Win Probability: 31.95%

72.45%
31.95%
5:00 AM (5/23/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Federico Arnaboldi
0
-135
-1.5
(+171)
O 2.5
(+149)
Maximilian Marterer
2
+112
+1.5
(-208)
U 2.5
(-179)

Moneyline Movements: 16

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.62%

Federico Arnaboldi Win Probability: 57.45%

Maximilian Marterer Win Probability: 47.17%

57.45%
47.17%
6:30 AM (5/23/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Clement Tabur
2
-165
-1.5
(+152)
O 2.5
(+136)
Filip Cristian Jianu
0
+137
+1.5
(-183)
U 2.5
(-164)

Moneyline Movements: 22

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.45%

Clement Tabur Win Probability: 62.26%

Filip Cristian Jianu Win Probability: 42.19%

62.26%
42.19%
6:30 AM (5/23/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
James Trotter
0
+213
+1.5
(-123)
O 2.5
(+148)
Benjamin Hassan
2
-264
-1.5
(+102)
U 2.5
(-179)

Moneyline Movements: 16

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.48%

James Trotter Win Probability: 31.95%

Benjamin Hassan Win Probability: 72.53%

31.95%
72.53%
6:30 AM (5/23/2025)FINAL ML SPREAD TOTAL
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
2
-121
-1.5
(+219)
O 2.5
(+114)
Daniel Elahi Galan
0
+100
+1.5
(-271)
U 2.5
(-137)

Moneyline Movements: 14

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.75%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo Win Probability: 54.75%

Daniel Elahi Galan Win Probability: 50.00%

54.75%
50.00%
8:30 AM (5/23/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
+171
+1.5
(-160)
O 2.5
(+131)
Nikoloz Basilashvili
-207
-1.5
(+134)
U 2.5
(-158)

Moneyline Movements: 17

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.33%

Geoffrey Blancaneaux Win Probability: 36.90%

Nikoloz Basilashvili Win Probability: 67.43%

36.90%
67.43%
9:00 AM (5/23/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Lukas Klein
-138
-1.5
(+174)
O 2.5
(+136)
Ugo Blanchet
+114
+1.5
(-211)
U 2.5
(-164)

Moneyline Movements: 16

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.71%

Lukas Klein Win Probability: 57.98%

Ugo Blanchet Win Probability: 46.73%

57.98%
46.73%
9:00 AM (5/23/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Marin Cilic
-404
-1.5
(-119)
O 2.5
(+141)
Lloyd Harris
+313
+1.5
(-102)
U 2.5
(-170)

Moneyline Movements: 30

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.37%

Marin Cilic Win Probability: 80.16%

Lloyd Harris Win Probability: 24.21%

80.16%
24.21%
9:00 AM (5/23/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Henrique Rocha
+222
+1.5
(-130)
O 2.5
(+141)
Luca Van Assche
-275
-1.5
(+108)
U 2.5
(-170)

Moneyline Movements: 17

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.39%

Henrique Rocha Win Probability: 31.06%

Luca Van Assche Win Probability: 73.33%

31.06%
73.33%
9:30 AM (5/23/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Titouan Droguet
+127
+1.5
(-209)
O 2.5
(+125)
Yannick Hanfmann
-152
-1.5
(+172)
U 2.5
(-150)

Moneyline Movements: 18

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None

Sportsbook Edge
+4.37%

Titouan Droguet Win Probability: 44.05%

Yannick Hanfmann Win Probability: 60.32%

44.05%
60.32%

Tennis Betting Videos

Learn More About ATP French Open - Qualifiers (Tennis)

The ATP French Open, officially known as Roland-Garros, is one of the four Grand Slam tennis tournaments and is organized by the Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP) for the men’s circuit. It's held annually in Paris, France, over two weeks in late May and early June. The French Open is unique among the Grand Slams as it is played on clay courts, which significantly impacts the style of play and betting dynamics.


ATP French Open – Tournament Overview

1. Surface & Style of Play:

  • Clay courts slow down the ball and produce a higher bounce compared to grass or hard courts.

  • It favors baseline players with patience, stamina, and strong defensive skills.

  • Matches tend to be longer due to more extended rallies.

2. Format:

  • Men’s singles matches are played as best-of-five sets.

  • The main draw features 128 players, with seeded players determined by ATP rankings.

  • Includes qualifying rounds, main draw, and finals.

  • The tournament also features doubles and mixed doubles, but singles is the primary focus for most bettors.

3. Key Players:

  • Historically dominated by players with strong clay court prowess (e.g., Rafael Nadal).

  • Watch for “clay-court specialists,” who may perform better here than in other tournaments.


How to Bet on the ATP French Open

1. Types of Bets:

a. Match Winner:

  • Bet on who will win a specific match.

  • Keep in mind upsets are common early in Grand Slams, especially on clay.

b. Outright Winner:

  • Bet on who will win the entire tournament.

  • Odds are available before and during the tournament.

c. Set Betting:

  • Predict the correct final score by sets (e.g., 3-1, 3-2).

d. Over/Under Total Games:

  • Bet on whether the total number of games in a match will be over or under a set number.

e. Handicap Betting:

  • A spread is applied to level the playing field. For example, a -5.5 game handicap means the favorite must win by at least 6 more games than the opponent.

f. Live Betting (In-Play):

  • Odds shift dynamically as the match progresses.

  • Requires real-time insights and quick decision-making.

g. Props & Specials:

  • Examples: Player to win the first set, number of aces, double faults, or tie-break occurrence.


Betting Strategy for the French Open

1. Consider Surface-Specific Stats:

  • Some players excel on clay but struggle on hard courts and vice versa.

  • Analyze win percentages on clay for each player.

2. Endurance Matters:

  • Five-set matches on clay are physically demanding.

  • Players with better fitness and stamina usually prevail in long matches.

3. Head-to-Head on Clay:

  • Prior meetings on clay between players provide better predictive value than overall H2H.

4. Watch the Weather:

  • Damp conditions slow the clay further, affecting power hitters more.

  • Sunny, dry days speed up the surface, benefiting aggressive players.

5. Form and Fatigue:

  • Recent performance leading up to the tournament (especially on clay) is important.

  • Watch for players who went deep in previous clay events (e.g., Monte Carlo, Madrid, Rome) — they may be in form or fatigued.

6. Injuries and Recovery Time:

  • Best-of-five matches on clay are grueling.

  • Check if players have a history of injury or are returning from one.

7. Underdogs in Early Rounds:

  • Early rounds are ripe for surprises, especially when seeded players face experienced clay-court grinders.

8. Value in Live Betting:

  • Momentum swings are common on clay. A player down a set can rally back, offering good odds mid-match.


Final Tips

  • Track ATP player statistics specifically for clay courts.

  • Use data-driven tools or AI models to simulate match outcomes and identify betting value.

  • Avoid betting emotionally — always prioritize matchup analysis and surface compatibility.

  • Manage your bankroll wisely, especially in a long tournament like this.

The ATP French Open is both a tennis purist’s delight and a playground for analytical bettors. The surface, format, and tournament structure create a distinctive landscape for finding betting edges with the right insights.

IPA 216.73.216.50

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