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Leagues Tennis - ATP Acapulco - R1

 ATP Acapulco - R1
7:00 PM (2/24/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Arthur Rinderknech
+347
+1.5
(+129)
O 2.5
(+183)
Casper Ruud
-415
-1.5
(-149)
U 2.5
(-214)

Moneyline Movements: 18

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.95%

Arthur Rinderknech Win Probability: 22.37%

Casper Ruud Win Probability: 80.58%

22.37%
80.58%
7:00 PM (2/24/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Daniel Altmaier
+270
+1.5
(+100)
O 2.5
(+160)
Miomir Kecmanovic
-316
-1.5
(-115)
U 2.5
(-187)

Moneyline Movements: 12

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+2.99%

Daniel Altmaier Win Probability: 27.03%

Miomir Kecmanovic Win Probability: 75.96%

27.03%
75.96%
7:00 PM (2/24/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Jakub Mensik
+123
+1.5
(-212)
O 2.5
(+133)
Tomas Machac
-139
-1.5
(+181)
U 2.5
(-154)

Moneyline Movements: 8

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.00%

Jakub Mensik Win Probability: 44.84%

Tomas Machac Win Probability: 58.16%

44.84%
58.16%
9:00 PM (2/24/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
David Goffin
-145
-1.5
(+175)
O 2.5
(+131)
Rinky Hijikata
+125
+1.5
(-209)
U 2.5
(-154)

Moneyline Movements: 12

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.62%

David Goffin Win Probability: 59.18%

Rinky Hijikata Win Probability: 44.44%

59.18%
44.44%
9:00 PM (2/24/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Flavio Cobolli
+269
+1.5
(-103)
O 2.5
(+152)
Ben Shelton
-323
-1.5
(-115)
U 2.5
(-181)

Moneyline Movements: 6

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.46%

Flavio Cobolli Win Probability: 27.10%

Ben Shelton Win Probability: 76.36%

27.10%
76.36%
9:00 PM (2/24/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Marcos Giron
-185
-1.5
(+129)
O 2.5
(+143)
Adam Walton
+160
+1.5
(-152)
U 2.5
(-169)

Moneyline Movements: 6

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.37%

Marcos Giron Win Probability: 64.91%

Adam Walton Win Probability: 38.46%

64.91%
38.46%
11:00 PM (2/24/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Learner Tien
+106
+1.5
(-238)
O 2.5
(+127)
Cameron Norrie
-123
-1.5
(+199)
U 2.5
(-149)

Moneyline Movements: 14

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.70%

Learner Tien Win Probability: 48.54%

Cameron Norrie Win Probability: 55.16%

48.54%
55.16%
11:00 PM (2/24/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Gabriel Diallo
+243
+1.5
(-116)
O 2.5
(+141)
Tommy Paul
-289
-1.5
(-102)
U 2.5
(-166)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.44%

Gabriel Diallo Win Probability: 29.15%

Tommy Paul Win Probability: 74.29%

29.15%
74.29%
10:00 AM (2/25/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Alex Michelsen
-225
-1.5
(+118)
O 2.5
(+144)
Bu Yunchaokete
+192
+1.5
(-138)
U 2.5
(-170)

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.48%

Alex Michelsen Win Probability: 69.23%

Bu Yunchaokete Win Probability: 34.25%

69.23%
34.25%
10:00 AM (2/25/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Aleksandar Vukic
-387
-1.5
(-128)
O 2.5
(+174)
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
+317
+1.5
(+108)
U 2.5
(-208)

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.45%

Aleksandar Vukic Win Probability: 79.47%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Win Probability: 23.98%

79.47%
23.98%
10:00 AM (2/25/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Benjamin Bonzi
+181
+1.5
(-142)
O 2.5
(+145)
Brandon Nakashima
-212
-1.5
(+121)
U 2.5
(-172)

Moneyline Movements: 4

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.54%

Benjamin Bonzi Win Probability: 35.59%

Brandon Nakashima Win Probability: 67.95%

35.59%
67.95%
10:00 AM (2/25/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Holger Rune
-337
-1.5
(-124)
O 2.5
(+163)
Roberto Carballes Baena
+280
+1.5
(+106)
U 2.5
(-194)

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.44%

Holger Rune Win Probability: 77.12%

Roberto Carballes Baena Win Probability: 26.32%

77.12%
26.32%
10:00 AM (2/25/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Alexander Zverev
-343
-1.5
(-121)
O 2.5
(+154)
Matteo Arnaldi
+284
+1.5
(+102)
U 2.5
(-183)

Moneyline Movements: None

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.47%

Alexander Zverev Win Probability: 77.43%

Matteo Arnaldi Win Probability: 26.04%

77.43%
26.04%
10:00 AM (2/25/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
-175
-1.5
(+146)
O 2.5
(+138)
Mattia Bellucci
+150
+1.5
(-173)
U 2.5
(-163)

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.64%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Win Probability: 63.64%

Mattia Bellucci Win Probability: 40.00%

63.64%
40.00%
10:00 AM (2/25/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Denis Shapovalov
-156
-1.5
(+160)
O 2.5
(+136)
Nishesh Basavareddy
+135
+1.5
(-190)
U 2.5
(-160)

Moneyline Movements: None

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.49%

Denis Shapovalov Win Probability: 60.94%

Nishesh Basavareddy Win Probability: 42.55%

60.94%
42.55%
10:00 AM (2/26/2025) ML SPREAD TOTAL
Frances Tiafoe
-344
-1.5
(-119)
O 2.5
(+159)
Alexandre Muller
+285
+1.5
(+100)
U 2.5
(-189)

Moneyline Movements: 2

Spread Movements: None

Total Sets Movements: None
Sportsbook Edge
+3.45%

Frances Tiafoe Win Probability: 77.48%

Alexandre Muller Win Probability: 25.97%

77.48%
25.97%

Learn More About ATP Acapulco - R1 (Tennis)

The ATP Acapulco, officially known as the Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC, is a professional men's tennis tournament held annually in Acapulco, Mexico. It is part of the ATP Tour 500 series, making it one of the more prestigious tournaments outside the Masters 1000 and Grand Slam levels. The tournament is played on hard courts at the Princess Mundo Imperial, having switched from clay courts in 2014 to attract top-tier hard-court players.

Tournament Format and Key Features

  • Category: ATP 500
  • Court Surface: Hard courts (previously clay until 2014)
  • Draw Size: 32-player singles draw, 16-team doubles draw
  • Prize Money: Considerable, though varies year to year
  • Points Distribution: ATP 500 tournaments award the winner 500 ranking points, which is significant for players aiming to climb the rankings
  • Time of Year: Typically held in late February or early March, aligning with the Golden Swing in Latin America
  • Notable Champions: Past winners include Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic, Alexander Zverev, and Nick Kyrgios

The tournament often attracts high-profile players as a warm-up for the U.S. hard-court season and Indian Wells/Miami Masters events.

How to Bet on ATP Acapulco

Betting on ATP Acapulco follows general tennis betting principles but requires specific knowledge of player form, playing conditions, and head-to-head matchups. Here’s a guide on how to do it:

1. Understanding Betting Markets

  • Match Winner: Betting on who will win a specific match.
  • Outright Winner: Betting on which player will win the entire tournament.
  • Handicap Betting: This applies either to game handicaps (one player starts with a virtual lead in games) or set handicaps (where a player must win by a certain set margin).
  • Over/Under Total Games: Betting on whether the total number of games in a match will be over or under a set number.
  • Correct Score: Predicting the exact score of a match in sets (e.g., 2-1 or 2-0 in best-of-three matches).
  • Live Betting: Placing bets while the match is ongoing, adjusting to in-game momentum shifts.

2. Key Factors to Consider

  • Player Form: Check recent performances and head-to-head records.
  • Playing Conditions: Acapulco is played in humid, warm conditions, which can impact endurance.
  • Court Speed: The hard courts here are considered medium-fast, favoring big servers and aggressive baseline players.
  • Fatigue and Injuries: Since it follows a heavy tennis schedule, some players might not be at their peak fitness.
  • Upsets and Young Players: The tournament often sees breakout performances from rising stars.

3. Strategies for Betting

  • Look for Value Bets: Instead of just backing the favorites, analyze players who have a playing style suited to Acapulco's conditions.
  • Bet on In-Form Players: Prioritize players who performed well in previous tournaments like the Australian Open or the Latin American swing.
  • Monitor Live Odds: In-match swings can provide opportunities for better odds.

By combining data analysis, player performance research, and market trends, bettors can improve their chances of making informed bets at ATP Acapulco.

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