The Philadelphia Phillies (+145) visit Ed Smith Stadium to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Sarasota.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Phillies vs Orioles Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Phillies are 3-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 2-5 ATS.
Phillies vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 57.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 away games (+2.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+2.05 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 61 away games (+24.08 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 129 games (+16.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 away games (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.83 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 128 games (+7.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 142 games (+28.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 142 games (+22.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 70 games at home (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 3-3 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -3.31% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 13.79% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 24.46% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -33.33% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 2-5 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -45.83% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -33.14% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 9.68% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -17.53% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Plassmeyer has limited playing time.