The San Diego Padres (+130) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Padres are 7-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-8 ATS.
Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 0-1, 3.86 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 2-0, 1.64 ERA
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Joe Musgrove has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Eguy Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Eguy Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James Paxton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 17 games at home (+7.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Tyler Glasnow has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 78 of their last 146 games (+15.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 7-8 against the Run Line (+0.97 Units / 5.81% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.21 Units / -11.57% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.53 Units / -3.19% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -3.63% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.64 Units / -9.87% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 4.37% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.42 Units / 20.5% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -29.23% ROI
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Paxton (LAD) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Yu Darvish (SD) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (10/20) against Yu Darvish when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 71% (12/17) against Yu Darvish with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Yu Darvish has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (32/54) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (5/17) against Yu Darvish in two-strike counts this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — ninth Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Paxton allowed a slugging percentage of .696 (32 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — third Percentile.
James Paxton has an average spin rate of 1923.0 RPM on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 2515.4 — first Percentile.
James Paxton had a strike rate of 71% (363/513) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 17 of 125 batters (14%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.