The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit BayCare Ballpark to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-140) on Monday, March 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Clearwater.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Orioles vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Orioles are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 6-10 ATS.
Orioles vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 59.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rylan Bannon has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rylan Bannon has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.70 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+4.05 Units / 203% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.35 Units / 89% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 142 games (+28.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 142 games (+22.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 away games (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 away games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 129 games (+16.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 70 of their last 121 games (+14.08 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+10.93 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games at home (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.53% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -9.02% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 34.45% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -42.64% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 6-10 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -26.25% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -9.77% ROI
- 12-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.3 Units / 40.67% ROI
- 4-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -52.16% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish had an ERA of 7.21 (63.2 IP) against division opponents last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — second Percentile.
Division opponents batted .324 against Kyle Bradish (85-for-262) last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .247 — third Percentile.
Kyle Bradish allowed a slugging percentage of just .245 (12 Total Bases / 49 ABs) on low fastballs last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 98th Percentile.
Kyle Bradish had a strike rate of just 61% (351/573) in two strike counts last season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.