The Colorado Buffaloes and Oregon Ducks meet in the Pac-12 Tournament final, as we make the best Oregon vs. Colorado prediction based on the best college basketball odds.
Last night the Oregon Ducks were 11.5-point underdogs against the Arizona Wildcats, a March Madness odds favorite, but managed to escape with an eight-point victory to advance to the Pac-12 Tournament championship game. Meanwhile, the Buffaloes defeated the Washington State Cougars 58-52 and are favored to win tonight against Oregon.
The Buffaloes won both regular-season meetings between these two teams, defeating the Ducks 86-70 in Colorado and 79-75 in Oregon. The Buffaloes are likely in the NCAA Tournament with a loss, but the Ducks need to win tonight.
As part of our college basketball player props and best bets for Saturday, here is our best Oregon vs. Colorado prediction and our college basket ball picks for the Pac-12 Tournament Championship (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Oregon vs. Colorado prediction: Pac-12 Tournament Championship
Best odds: -110 via Caesars
If this wasn't the Buffaloes' third game in three days, this would be a four-star play. The Buffaloes average 79.6 points per game, and they've scored at least 79 in both of their meetings with the Ducks this season.
But it's not just the final scores of the previous two meetings that make the Buffaloes' team total Over the right play. This is simply a great matchup for them. The Ducks allow opponents to make 45.4% of their field goals, which ranks 254th in the country. The Buffaloes are the sixth-best shooting team in the nation, making 49.5% of their attempts.
Fatigue may play a role in this game, but tir ed legs are much more likely to affect 3-point shooting than shots from inside the arc. The Buffaloes don't rely much on 3-pointers at all. They rank 21st in the country in points from 2-pointers this season, while they rank 228th in points from 3-pointers.
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Oregon vs. Colorado best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 72.5 | Over 72.5 | Over 72.5 | Over 72.5 | N/A |
| -110 | -110 | -120 | -110 | N/A |
BetMGM and FanDuel don't seem overly concerned about fatigue in this one, as they have the price at -120 and -114, respectively. At -120, the odds imply a 54.55% of the Buffaloes going over 72.5, while -110 implies a 52.38% chance, according to our odds calculator.
It's not a huge discrepancy, but it just highlights that even our less confident best sports betting sites – like DraftKings and Caesars – think the Buffaloes will score in this game.
Oregon vs. Colorado odds
Oregon vs. Colorado odds analysis
The Buffaloes opened as 2.5-point favorites and the spread has either stayed there or dropped to 2 across our best sports betting apps. This game feels like a toss-up considering how the Ducks are playing, so don't expect there to be much movement from where the spread currently sits.
The total for this game opened at 143.5, and it has either stayed there or dropped to as low as 142.5 at each of our best sportsbooks. The Under is feeling support early with 75% of bettors backing it, but that could change as tip-off gets closer. With both teams scoring so well, look for this number to stay around 142 or 143, even as sharper bettors back the Over, because of the fatigue factor.
Oregon vs. Colorado game info
- When: Saturday, March 16
- Tip-off: 9 p.m. ET
- Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nev.
- How to watch: FOX
Oregon-Colorado prediction made Saturday at 9:29 a.m. ET.
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