The West's top two teams meet Saturday night. Which players will have big games and which will be disappointing? Read on for our top Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies player props based on the best NBA odds.
The Nuggets currently hold a six-game lead in the West over the second-place Grizzlies. Denver center and MVP frontrunner Nikola Jokic is in the NBA's top three in both assists and rebounds, averaging a triple-double for the entire season.
Grizzlies point guard Ja Morant averages 27.1 points per game and is a league fifth in assists per contest. Memphis power forward Jaren Jackson Jr. is an NBA leader in blocks per game, averaging 3.3 this season. The league's fifth-leading rebounder, Steven Adams, was ruled out for this game.
Here are our best Nuggets vs. Grizzlies player prop picks for Saturday (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies player props for Saturday
- Nikola Jokic to record a triple-couble (+120 via BetMGM) ????
- Ja Morant Under 8.5 assists (+115 via DraftKings) ???
- Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 7.5 rebounds (-111 via FanDuel) ????
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies odds
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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies player props
At FanDuel, Jokic is favored to record a triple-double. All things considered, we were ready to take this at that price. However, BetMGM offers an even better price for Jokic to continue doing what he's done all season. He easily averages a triple-double this year, and he's achieved that feat in 11 of his last 14 games.
Jokic scored in double figures in all but two matchups this season, and pulled down at least 10 rebounds in nine consecutive. He's missed reaching 10 assists in two of his last five games, but still recorded six and eight in those two contests. When he misses a triple-double, it's not by much no matter who he plays.
Even if Morant records nine or more assists Saturday night, there's way too much value in taking his Under. He's dished out fewer than nine assists in four of his last six games, and hasn't hit double-digits during that stretch.
Morant did enjoy a recent stretch where he had at least 11 assists in four consecutive matchups, but that streak was an anomaly. He averages 8.2 assists per game this sea son, and in 15 of his last 20, he's had fewer than 10. A price of -145 for him to go Over 8.5 assists is absurd, no matter how good he is. This bet may not hit, but at this price, you simply can't pass it up.
With Steven Adams out, expect Jaren Jackson Jr., the Grizzlies' second-leading rebounder, to pick up the slack and go well above his season average of 6.7 per game. It's smart to take the Under for every Grizzlies' rebounder Saturday night, since the Nuggets shoot a league-best 51.1% from the field. However, every team misses shots, and oddsmakers didn't properly adjust this line for just how much Adams' absence should affect Jackson.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies player prop picks made 2/25/2023 at 9:59 a.m. ET.
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