Northwestern vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

The Northwestern Wildcats (1-9) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (6-4) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in West Lafayette.

Purdue are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).

The Over/Under for Northwestern vs. Purdue is 45.5 total points.

Bet now on Purdue vs Northwestern & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Northwestern vs Purdue Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 72.8% confidence.

Northwestern vs Purdue Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 71.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Purdue, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Northwestern Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Northwestern players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Hull has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ryan Hilinski has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Best Purdue Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Payne Durham has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • King Doerue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)

  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+7.10 Units / 177% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.80 Units / 17% ROI)

  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.18 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern has gone 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • Northwestern is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -59.4% ROI
  • Northwestern is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Northwestern is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Purdue has gone 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.55 Units / -23.29% ROI).

  • Purdue is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 16.67% ROI
  • Purdue is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • Purdue is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Northwestern is 1-11 (.067) when rushing more than 30 times — 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454

Northwestern is winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .424

Northwestern is winless (0-6) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .436

Northwestern is 1-10 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497

Purdue is 11-7 (.550) when passing for more than 200 yards — 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

Purdue is 8-3 (.615) when rushing more than 30 times — 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454

Purdue is 9-5 (.562) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

Purdue is 11-1 (.917) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .617

Purdue’s TEs has 52 receptions in 9 games (5.8 per game) this season — fourth-best among P5 TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.

  
Read Full Article